TrueSplits

Quinshon Judkins

RB · CLE · on the draft board

market valueRB23· 3,141 value· tier 24· ▼ down 369 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
10.5PPG
-1.7 vs 2025 avg (12.1) · 6 games
Likely noise
Which QB was under centerLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · With Sanders
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

10.5
Avg PPG (split)
9.8
Median week
16.7
Ceiling
4.7
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: steadyTD-reliance: 19%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
29%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 34 chances
-4.1%
Team pass rate (PROE)
run-leaning play-caller (CLE)
11%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (CLE)
+0.30
Rush yds over exp / att
efficiency vs his blocking
45%
Stacked boxes
carries vs 8+ defenders

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Likely noise: This 2.9-PPG gap is within the margin of error — no bigger than his normal week-to-week swing (±6.7), so treat it as noise, not a real edge.

In games with sanders, Judkins averaged 10.5 PPG1.7 fewer than the 12.1 PPG season line your draft board shows.

Boom/bust watch: 52% of the points in this split came from just 2 games — the median week is lower than the average implies.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 153
5048% bust19% @1.5x250

Expect about 153 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 50 and 250, with a 48% chance of finishing below replacement (148).

Game log

14 games · 12.1 PPG avg
WkOppRush ydTDRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
2@BALL610310027%!Flaccosoft10.1
3GBW94111055%Flaccomid16.5
4@DETL821433058%Flaccotough21.5
5MINL1100118056%Gabrieltough13.8
6@PITL36000040%Gabrieltough3.6
7MIAW84300065%Gabrielmid26.4
8@NEL1903-2033%!Gabrieltough4.7
10@NYJL750210052%Gabrielsoft10.5
11BALL59000060%Sanderssoft5.9
12@LVW47200049%Sandersmid16.7
13SFL910318060%Sanderssoft15.9
14TENL260158046%Sandersmid9.4
15@CHIL2103-4067%Sanderssoft4.7
16BUFL220529039%!Sanderssoft10.1

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Rush yards over expected / att — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 2Wk 15

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -1.3 (0.7-0.6). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — CLEvs RB · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 2 soft, 1 tough
Wk 15
@NYG
Wk 16
@BAL
Wk 17
IND
Full season
Wk 1
@JAX
Wk 2
@TB
Wk 3
CAR
Wk 4
PIT
Wk 5
@NYJ
Wk 6
BAL
Wk 7
@TEN
Wk 8
@PIT
Wk 9
@NO
Wk 10
HOU
Wk 12
LV
Wk 13
CIN
Wk 14
ATL
Wk 15
@NYG
Wk 16
@BAL
Wk 17
IND
Wk 18
@CIN

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to RBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.