DeVonta Smith
WR · PHI · on the draft board
Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.
Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.
Across all 17 games, DeVonta Smith averaged 11.9 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.
Expect about 208 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 93 and 313, with a 40% chance of finishing below replacement (183).
Game log
17 games · 11.9 PPG avg| Wk | Opp | Rec | Yds | TD | Snap | QB | Def | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DALW | 3 | 16 | 0 | 89% | Hurts | soft | 4.6 |
| 2 | @KCW | 4 | 53 | 0 | 75% | Hurts | tough | 9.3 |
| 3 | LAW | 8 | 60 | 1 | 96% | Hurts | soft | 20.0 |
| 4 | @TBW | 2 | 29 | 0 | 91% | Hurts | mid | 4.9 |
| 5 | DENL | 8 | 114 | 0 | 98% | Hurts | tough | 19.4 |
| 6 | @NYGL | 4 | 49 | 0 | 96% | Hurts | soft | 8.9 |
| 7 | @MINW | 9 | 183 | 1 | 88% | Hurts | tough | 33.3 |
| 8 | NYGW | 6 | 84 | 0 | 90% | Hurts | soft | 14.4 |
| 10 | @GBW | 4 | 69 | 1 | 92% | Hurts | mid | 16.9 |
| 11 | DETW | 1 | 8 | 0 | 97% | Hurts | soft | 1.8 |
| 12 | @DALL | 6 | 89 | 0 | 95% | Hurts | soft | 14.9 |
| 13 | CHIL | 5 | 48 | 0 | 94% | Hurts | soft | 9.8 |
| 14 | @LACL | 4 | 37 | 0 | 97% | Hurts | tough | 7.7 |
| 15 | LVW | 2 | 50 | 0 | 52% | Hurts | mid | 7.0 |
| 16 | @WASW | 6 | 42 | 1 | 86% | Hurts | soft | 16.2 |
| 17 | @BUFW | 2 | 25 | 0 | 85% | Hurts | tough | 4.5 |
| 18 | WASL | 3 | 52 | 0 | 14%! | McKee | soft | 8.2 |
Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.
Last 4 weeks vs earlier: +0.6yd (2.8 → 3.5yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.
Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.