TrueSplits

Tony Pollard

RB · TEN · on the draft board

market valueRB31· 1,360 value· tier 34· ▲ up 167 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
10.9PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (10.9) · 17 games
SeasonLive · Free
Which QB was under centerLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

10.9
Avg PPG (split)
9.5
Median week
28.1
Ceiling
5.3
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: streakyTD-reliance: 16%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
21%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 20 chances
-3.7%
Team pass rate (PROE)
run-leaning play-caller (TEN)
10%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (TEN)
+0.47
Rush yds over exp / att
efficiency vs his blocking
23%
Stacked boxes
carries vs 8+ defenders

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Across all 17 games, Tony Pollard averaged 10.9 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 134
4457% bust10% @1.5x220

Expect about 134 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 44 and 220, with a 57% chance of finishing below replacement (148).

Game log

17 games · 10.9 PPG avg
WkOppRush ydTDRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1@DENL600129089%Wardtough7.9
2LAL92000089%Wardmid9.2
3INDL451214091%Wardtough13.9
4@HOUL640312086%Wardtough10.6
5@ARIW671311073%Wardsoft14.8
6@LVL340213043%Wardmid6.7
7NEL180643057%Wardtough12.1
8@INDL44019046%Wardtough6.3
9LACL560112062%Wardtough7.8
11HOUL22034049%Wardtough5.6
12SEAL200421051%Wardtough8.1
13JAXL60013046%Wardtough5.3
14@CLEW161200059%Wardmid28.1
15@SFL104118053%Wardsoft18.2
16KCW102000055%Wardtough10.2
17NOL850210050%Wardmid11.5
18@JAXL480317063%Allentough9.5

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Rush yards over expected / att — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 1Wk 18

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: +1 (01). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — TENvs RB · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 0 soft, 2 tough
Wk 15
IND
Wk 16
@LV
Wk 17
PIT
Full season
Wk 1
NYJ
Wk 2
PHI
Wk 3
@NYG
Wk 4
@BAL
Wk 5
HOU
Wk 6
@IND
Wk 7
CLE
Wk 8
@CIN
Wk 10
JAX
Wk 11
@DAL
Wk 12
@JAX
Wk 13
WAS
Wk 14
@DET
Wk 15
IND
Wk 16
@LV
Wk 17
PIT
Wk 18
@HOU

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to RBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.