TrueSplits

Davis Mills

QB · HOU

11.4PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (11.4) · 6 games
SeasonLive · Free
Which QB was under centerLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

11.4
Avg PPG (split)
10.4
Median week
27.7
Ceiling
1.2
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: volatileTD-reliance: 52% · regression risk
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
2%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 3 chances
-0.5%
Team pass rate (PROE)
balanced play-caller (HOU)
11%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (HOU)
-2.9%
Completion % over exp
accuracy vs throw difficulty
2.56s
Time to throw
avg snap to release

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Boom/bust watch: 64% of the points in this split came from just 2 games — the median week is lower than the average implies.

Game log

6 games · 11.4 PPG avg
WkOppPass ydTDINTRush ydTDSnapQBDefPts
5@BALW23003020%!Stroudmid1.2
9DENL137007068%Millstough6.2
10JAXW29221201100%Millstough27.7
11@TENW27410140100%Millsmid16.4
12BUFW1532040100%Millstough14.5
18INDW360012035%!Stroudmid2.6

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Schedule ahead — HOUvs QB · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 0 soft, 1 tough
Wk 15
JAX
Wk 16
@PHI
Wk 17
@GB
Full season
Wk 1
BUF
Wk 2
CIN
Wk 3
@IND
Wk 4
DAL
Wk 5
@TEN
Wk 6
@JAX
Wk 7
NYG
Wk 9
@LAC
Wk 10
@CLE
Wk 11
IND
Wk 12
BAL
Wk 13
@PIT
Wk 14
@WAS
Wk 15
JAX
Wk 16
@PHI
Wk 17
@GB
Wk 18
TEN

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to QBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.