Bijan Robinson
RB · ATL · on the draft board
Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.
Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.
Across all 17 games, Bijan Robinson averaged 21.8 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.
Expect about 260 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 85 and 426, with a 21% chance of finishing below replacement (148).
Game log
17 games · 21.8 PPG avg| Wk | Opp | Rush yd | TD | Rec | Yds | TD | Snap | QB | Def | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TBL | 24 | 0 | 6 | 100 | 1 | 83% | Jr. | mid | 24.4 |
| 2 | @MINW | 143 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 0 | 65% | Jr. | tough | 19.8 |
| 3 | @CARL | 72 | 0 | 5 | 39 | 0 | 80% | Jr. | soft | 16.1 |
| 4 | WASW | 75 | 1 | 4 | 106 | 0 | 69% | Jr. | soft | 28.1 |
| 6 | BUFW | 170 | 1 | 6 | 68 | 0 | 74% | Jr. | soft | 35.8 |
| 7 | @SFL | 40 | 0 | 6 | 52 | 1 | 88% | Jr. | soft | 21.2 |
| 8 | MIAL | 25 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 60% | Cousins | mid | 5.8 |
| 9 | @NEL | 46 | 0 | 8 | 50 | 0 | 96% | Jr. | tough | 17.6 |
| 10 | @INDL | 84 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 86% | Jr. | tough | 10.8 |
| 11 | CARL | 104 | 2 | 4 | 39 | 0 | 85% | Jr. | soft | 30.3 |
| 12 | @NOW | 70 | 0 | 2 | 37 | 0 | 66% | Cousins | mid | 14.7 |
| 13 | @NYJL | 142 | 1 | 5 | 51 | 0 | 87% | Cousins | soft | 30.3 |
| 14 | SEAL | 86 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 67% | Cousins | tough | 9.4 |
| 15 | @TBW | 93 | 1 | 8 | 82 | 0 | 90% | Cousins | mid | 29.5 |
| 16 | @ARIW | 76 | 0 | 7 | 92 | 1 | 70% | Cousins | soft | 29.8 |
| 17 | LAW | 195 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 1 | 79% | Cousins | mid | 39.9 |
| 18 | NOW | 33 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 84% | Cousins | mid | 7.3 |
Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.
Last 4 weeks vs earlier: +1.2 (0.4 → 1.6). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.
Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to RBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.