Brian Thomas Jr.
WR · JAX · on the draft board
Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.
Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.
Across all 14 games, Brian Thomas Jr. averaged 9.9 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.
Expect about 163 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 73 and 246, with a 62% chance of finishing below replacement (183).
Game log
14 games · 9.9 PPG avg| Wk | Opp | Rec | Yds | TD | Snap | QB | Def | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CARW | 1 | 11 | 0 | 86% | Lawrence | tough | 9.0 |
| 2 | @CINL | 4 | 49 | 0 | 94% | Lawrence | tough | 8.9 |
| 3 | HOUW | 2 | 55 | 0 | 81% | Lawrence | tough | 7.5 |
| 4 | @SFW | 5 | 49 | 0 | 79% | Lawrence | soft | 10.6 |
| 5 | KCW | 4 | 80 | 0 | 93% | Lawrence | tough | 12.0 |
| 6 | SEAL | 8 | 90 | 1 | 80% | Lawrence | tough | 23.0 |
| 7 | LAL | 3 | 31 | 0 | 66% | Lawrence | soft | 6.1 |
| 9 | @LVW | 3 | 55 | 0 | 65% | Lawrence | mid | 8.5 |
| 13 | @TENW | 2 | 28 | 0 | 75% | Lawrence | soft | 4.8 |
| 14 | INDW | 3 | 87 | 0 | 83% | Lawrence | soft | 11.7 |
| 15 | NYJW | 4 | 66 | 1 | 77% | Lawrence | mid | 17.1 |
| 16 | @DENW | 2 | 18 | 0 | 73% | Lawrence | tough | 3.8 |
| 17 | @INDW | 4 | 39 | 0 | 78% | Lawrence | soft | 7.9 |
| 18 | TENW | 3 | 49 | 0 | 57% | Lawrence | soft | 7.9 |
Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.
Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -0.5yd (2.7 → 2.2yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.
Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.