TrueSplits

Nate Adkins

TE · DEN

2.8PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (2.8) · 6 games
SeasonLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

2.8
Avg PPG (split)
1.3
Median week
10.3
Ceiling
0
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: volatileTD-reliance: 36% · regression risk
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
1%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 2 chances
+1.6%
Team pass rate (PROE)
balanced play-caller (DEN)
12%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (DEN)

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Boom/bust watch: 85% of the points in this split came from just 2 games — the median week is lower than the average implies.

Game log

6 games · 2.8 PPG avg
WkOppRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
4CINW25042%Nixsoft2.5
5@PHIW00036%!Nixtough0.0
6@NYJW223138%!Nixsoft10.3
7NYGW220032%!Nixtough4.0
8DALW00025%!Nixmid0.0
16JAXL00011%!Nixmid0.0

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Schedule ahead — DENvs TE · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 15–17) · 0 soft, 2 tough
Wk 15
@LV
Wk 16
BUF
Wk 17
@NE
Full season
Wk 1
@KC
Wk 2
JAX
Wk 3
LA
Wk 4
@SF
Wk 5
@LAC
Wk 6
SEA
Wk 7
@ARI
Wk 8
KC
Wk 9
@CAR
Wk 11
LV
Wk 12
@PIT
Wk 13
MIA
Wk 14
@NYJ
Wk 15
@LV
Wk 16
BUF
Wk 17
@NE
Wk 18
LAC

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to TEs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.