TrueSplits

Justin Watson

WR · HOU

2PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (2) · 3 games
Small sample · under 4 games
SeasonLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

2
Avg PPG (split)
1.3
Median week
4.7
Ceiling
0
Floor
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
1%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 2 chances
-0.5%
Team pass rate (PROE)
balanced play-caller (HOU)
11%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (HOU)

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Across all 3 games, Justin Watson averaged 2 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Game log

3 games · 2.0 PPG avg
WkOppRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1@LAL227056%Stroudsoft4.7
2TBL13041%Stroudmid1.3
18INDW00019%!Stroudsoft0.0

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Schedule ahead — HOUvs WR · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 0 soft, 1 tough
Wk 15
JAX
Wk 16
@PHI
Wk 17
@GB
Full season
Wk 1
BUF
Wk 2
CIN
Wk 3
@IND
Wk 4
DAL
Wk 5
@TEN
Wk 6
@JAX
Wk 7
NYG
Wk 9
@LAC
Wk 10
@CLE
Wk 11
IND
Wk 12
BAL
Wk 13
@PIT
Wk 14
@WAS
Wk 15
JAX
Wk 16
@PHI
Wk 17
@GB
Wk 18
TEN

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.