Josh Downs
WR · IND · on the draft board
Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.
Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.
Across all 16 games, Josh Downs averaged 8.7 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.
Expect about 145 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 65 and 219, with a 76% chance of finishing below replacement (183).
Game log
16 games · 8.7 PPG avg| Wk | Opp | Rec | Yds | TD | Snap | QB | Def | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIAW | 2 | 12 | 0 | 49% | Jones | mid | 3.2 |
| 2 | DENW | 6 | 51 | 0 | 58% | Jones | tough | 11.1 |
| 3 | @TENW | 2 | 34 | 0 | 51% | Jones | soft | 5.4 |
| 4 | @LAL | 4 | 24 | 0 | 62% | Jones | soft | 6.4 |
| 5 | LVW | 6 | 54 | 0 | 50% | Jones | mid | 11.4 |
| 6 | ARIW | 6 | 42 | 1 | 51% | Jones | mid | 16.2 |
| 8 | TENW | 3 | 39 | 1 | 64% | Jones | soft | 12.9 |
| 9 | @PITL | 6 | 57 | 1 | 67% | Jones | soft | 17.7 |
| 10 | ATLW | 1 | 3 | 0 | 47% | Jones | mid | 1.3 |
| 12 | @KCL | 2 | 10 | 0 | 43% | Jones | tough | 3.0 |
| 13 | HOUL | 2 | 44 | 0 | 57% | Jones | tough | 6.4 |
| 14 | @JAXL | 4 | 23 | 0 | 66% | Leonard | mid | 6.3 |
| 15 | @SEAL | 3 | 13 | 1 | 72% | Rivers | tough | 10.3 |
| 16 | SFL | 5 | 65 | 0 | 78% | Rivers | soft | 11.8 |
| 17 | JAXL | 2 | 34 | 0 | 61% | Rivers | mid | 5.4 |
| 18 | @HOUL | 4 | 61 | 0 | 63% | Leonard | tough | 9.6 |
Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.
Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.