TrueSplits

Isiah Pacheco

RB · DET · on the draft board

market valueRB53· 121 value· tier 43· ▼ down 88 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
6.7PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (6.7) · 13 games
SeasonLive · Free
Which QB was under centerLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

6.7
Avg PPG (split)
5.8
Median week
13.5
Ceiling
2.1
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: streakyTD-reliance: 14%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
14%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 24 chances
+4.8%
Team pass rate (PROE)
pass-leaning play-caller (KC)
8%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (KC)
-0.41
Rush yds over exp / att
efficiency vs his blocking
14%
Stacked boxes
carries vs 8+ defenders

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Across all 13 games, Isiah Pacheco averaged 6.7 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 92
3088% bust5% @1.5x151

Expect about 92 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 30 and 151, with a 88% chance of finishing below replacement (148).

Game log

13 games · 6.7 PPG avg
WkOppRush ydTDRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1@LACL25023051%Mahomestough4.8
2PHIL22017058%Mahomesmid3.9
3@NYGW45013056%Mahomessoft5.8
4BALW350213137%!Mahomessoft12.8
5@JAXL360320062%Mahomestough8.6
6DETW51010077%Mahomestough6.1
7LVW5711-3056%Mahomesmid12.4
8WASW58000058%Mahomessoft5.8
13@DALL160217030%!Mahomessoft5.3
14HOUL30000033%!Mahomestough3.0
15LACL21000046%Mahomestough2.1
16@TENL340641073%Oladokunmid13.5
17DENL32000035%!Oladokuntough3.2

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Rush yards over expected / att — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 2Wk 15

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: +0.2 (-0.8-0.6). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — DETvs RB · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 1 soft, 1 tough
Wk 15
@MIN
Wk 16
NYG
Wk 17
@CHI
Full season
Wk 1
NO
Wk 2
@BUF
Wk 3
NYJ
Wk 4
@CAR
Wk 5
@ARI
Wk 7
GB
Wk 8
MIN
Wk 9
@MIA
Wk 10
NE
Wk 11
TB
Wk 12
CHI
Wk 13
@ATL
Wk 14
TEN
Wk 15
@MIN
Wk 16
NYG
Wk 17
@CHI
Wk 18
@GB

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to RBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.