Bo Nix
QB · DEN · on the draft board
Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.
Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.
Across all 17 games, Bo Nix averaged 17.9 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.
Expect about 258 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 126 and 336, with a 50% chance of finishing below replacement (257).
Game log
17 games · 17.9 PPG avg| Wk | Opp | Pass yd | TD | INT | Rush yd | TD | Snap | QB | Def | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TENW | 176 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 100% | Nix | mid | 6.8 |
| 2 | @INDL | 206 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 100% | Nix | mid | 20.2 |
| 3 | @LACL | 153 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 100% | Nix | tough | 13.4 |
| 4 | CINW | 326 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 100% | Nix | soft | 25.7 |
| 5 | @PHIW | 242 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 100% | Nix | mid | 17.9 |
| 6 | @NYJW | 174 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 100% | Nix | soft | 13.4 |
| 7 | NYGW | 279 | 2 | 0 | 48 | 2 | 100% | Nix | mid | 40.0 |
| 8 | DALW | 247 | 4 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 94% | Nix | soft | 23.8 |
| 9 | @HOUW | 173 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 0 | 100% | Nix | mid | 18.5 |
| 10 | LVW | 150 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 100% | Nix | tough | 5.8 |
| 11 | KCW | 295 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 100% | Nix | tough | 12.6 |
| 13 | @WASW | 321 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 100% | Nix | soft | 16.4 |
| 14 | @LVW | 212 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 100% | Nix | tough | 16.0 |
| 15 | GBW | 302 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 100% | Nix | soft | 29.1 |
| 16 | JAXL | 352 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 100% | Nix | tough | 15.2 |
| 17 | @KCW | 182 | 1 | 1 | 42 | 1 | 100% | Nix | tough | 19.5 |
| 18 | LACW | 141 | 0 | 0 | 49 | 0 | 100% | Nix | tough | 10.5 |
Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.
Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -7.6% (-0.7 → -8.3%). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.
Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to QBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.