TrueSplits

RJ Harvey

RB · DEN · on the draft board

market valueRB30· 1,374 value· tier 34· ▲ up 266 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
12.2PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (12.2) · 17 games
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

12.2
Avg PPG (split)
8
Median week
24.1
Ceiling
3.4
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: streakyTD-reliance: 35%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
24%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 40 chances
+1.6%
Team pass rate (PROE)
balanced play-caller (DEN)
12%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (DEN)
-0.64
Rush yds over exp / att
efficiency vs his blocking
33%
Stacked boxes
carries vs 8+ defenders

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Across all 17 games, RJ Harvey averaged 12.2 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 119
3968% bust5% @1.5x194

Expect about 119 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 39 and 194, with a 68% chance of finishing below replacement (148).

Game log

17 games · 12.2 PPG avg
WkOppRush ydTDRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1TENW7001-1029%!Nixmid7.9
2@INDL80116033%!Nixtough3.4
3@LACL20314029%!Nixtough4.6
4CINW580440141%Nixsoft19.8
5@PHIW120318020%!Nixmid6.0
6@NYJW40421028%!Nixsoft6.5
7NYGW0012125%!Nixsoft7.2
8DALW46215127%!Nixsoft24.1
9@HOUW50551132%!Nixtough16.6
10LVW9029028%!Nixmid3.8
11KCW300320061%Nixtough8.0
13@WASW352327047%Nixsoft21.2
14@LVW751625068%Nixmid22.0
15GBW65100068%Nixmid10.5
16JAXL501471059%Nixtough22.1
17@KCW430533165%Nixtough18.6
18LACW28015056%Nixtough4.3

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Rush yards over expected / att — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 4Wk 21

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: +0.2 (-1.2-1). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — DENvs RB · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 1 soft, 1 tough
Wk 15
@LV
Wk 16
BUF
Wk 17
@NE
Full season
Wk 1
@KC
Wk 2
JAX
Wk 3
LA
Wk 4
@SF
Wk 5
@LAC
Wk 6
SEA
Wk 7
@ARI
Wk 8
KC
Wk 9
@CAR
Wk 11
LV
Wk 12
@PIT
Wk 13
MIA
Wk 14
@NYJ
Wk 15
@LV
Wk 16
BUF
Wk 17
@NE
Wk 18
LAC

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to RBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.