TrueSplits

Jakobi Meyers

WR · JAX · on the draft board

market valueWR56· 392 value· tier 39· ▼ down 211 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
11PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (11) · 16 games
SeasonLive · Free
Which QB was under centerLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

11
Avg PPG (split)
9.4
Median week
21.3
Ceiling
6.3
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: steadyTD-reliance: 10%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
8%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 17 chances
+1.9%
Team pass rate (PROE)
balanced play-caller (JAX)
10%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (JAX)
9.4
Target depth (aDOT)
avg air yards per target
2.7 yd
Separation
avg at the catch point
32%
Air-yards share
of the team's intended air yards
+0.3
YAC vs expected
yards after catch over expectation

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Across all 16 games, Jakobi Meyers averaged 11 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 156
7067% bust5% @1.5x236

Expect about 156 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 70 and 236, with a 67% chance of finishing below replacement (183).

Game log

16 games · 11.0 PPG avg
WkOppRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1@NEW897094%Smithmid17.7
2LACL668093%Smithtough12.8
3@WASL363094%Smithsoft9.3
4CHIL430098%Smithsoft7.0
5@INDL432088%Smithsoft7.2
6TENW439090%Smithsoft7.9
9JAXL423089%Smithmid6.3
10@HOUL341044%Lawrencetough7.1
11LACW564065%Lawrencetough11.4
12@ARIW450184%Lawrencemid15.0
13@TENW690192%Lawrencesoft21.3
14INDW439183%Lawrencesoft14.8
15NYJW571087%Lawrencemid12.1
16@DENW445086%Lawrencetough8.6
17@INDW639094%Lawrencesoft7.9
18TENW544079%Lawrencesoft9.4

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Separation — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 1Wk 18

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -0.9yd (32.1yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — JAXvs WR · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 2 soft, 1 tough
Wk 15
@HOU
Wk 16
@DAL
Wk 17
WAS
Full season
Wk 1
CLE
Wk 2
@DEN
Wk 3
NE
Wk 4
@CIN
Wk 5
PHI
Wk 6
HOU
Wk 8
IND
Wk 9
@BAL
Wk 10
@TEN
Wk 11
@NYG
Wk 12
TEN
Wk 13
@CHI
Wk 14
PIT
Wk 15
@HOU
Wk 16
@DAL
Wk 17
WAS
Wk 18
@IND

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.