TrueSplits

Terrance Ferguson

TE · LA · on the draft board

community activityADP rising
4.7PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (4.7) · 11 games
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

4.7
Avg PPG (split)
3.1
Median week
13.4
Ceiling
0
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: volatileTD-reliance: 35%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
2%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 4 chances
+5.1%
Team pass rate (PROE)
pass-leaning play-caller (LA)
17%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (LA)

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Boom/bust watch: 49% of the points in this split came from just 2 games — the median week is lower than the average implies.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 113
5848% bust11% @1.5x167

Expect about 113 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 58 and 167, with a 48% chance of finishing below replacement (110).

Game log

11 games · 4.7 PPG avg
WkOppRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
5SFL12106%!Staffordmid3.1
6@BALW00032%!Staffordtough0.0
7@JAXW131149%Staffordmid10.1
9NOW254030%!Staffordtough7.4
10@SFW132032%!Staffordmid4.2
12TBW00027%!Staffordsoft0.0
13@CARL00035%!Staffordmid0.0
14@ARIW00064%Staffordsoft0.0
15DETW16078%Staffordmid1.6
16@SEAL333176%Staffordsoft12.3
17@ATLL254149%Staffordtough13.4

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Schedule ahead — LAvs TE · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 2 soft, 0 tough
Wk 15
DAL
Wk 16
@SEA
Wk 17
@TB
Full season
Wk 1
SF
Wk 2
NYG
Wk 3
@DEN
Wk 4
@PHI
Wk 5
BUF
Wk 6
ARI
Wk 7
@LV
Wk 8
LAC
Wk 9
@WAS
Wk 10
@ARI
Wk 12
GB
Wk 13
KC
Wk 14
@SF
Wk 15
DAL
Wk 16
@SEA
Wk 17
@TB
Wk 18
SEA

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to TEs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.