T.J. Hockenson

TE · MIN · on the draft board

community activityADP falling

market valueTE24· 140 value· tier 43· ▼ down 6 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR

7.5PPG

+0 vs 2025 avg (7.5) · 15 games

SeasonLive · Free

Which QB was under centerLive · Free

Game script & venueLive · Free

Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free

Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)

any snaps

Honest filtersLive · Free

Scoring

Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games

Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

7.5

Avg PPG (split)

7.9

Median week

15.9

Ceiling

1.2

Floor

start/sit readConsistency: streakyTD-reliance: 16%

Usage & role context — 2025Prior season

Red-zone role

share of team RZ opps · 12 chances

-1.6%

Team pass rate (PROE)

balanced play-caller (MIN)

13%

Team play-action

of dropbacks (MIN)

4.8

Target depth (aDOT)

avg air yards per target

3.8 yd

Separation

avg at the catch point

Air-yards share

of the team's intended air yards

-0.1

YAC vs expected

yards after catch over expectation

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Across all 15 games, T.J. Hockenson averaged 7.5 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 91

4771% bust5% @1.5x135

Expect about 91 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 47 and 135, with a 71% chance of finishing below replacement (110).

Game log

15 games · 7.5 PPG avg

Wk	Opp	Rec	Yds	TD	Snap	QB	Def	Pts
1	@CHIW	3	15	0	80%	McCarthy	mid	4.5
2	ATLL	1	12	0	72%	McCarthy	tough	2.2
3	CINW	5	49	1	68%	Wentz	soft	15.9
4	@PITL	4	39	0	93%	Wentz	soft	7.9
5	@CLEW	6	38	0	85%	Wentz	tough	9.8
7	PHIL	6	43	0	83%	Wentz	tough	10.3
8	@LACL	2	26	0	82%	Wentz	tough	4.6
9	@DETW	2	11	1	77%	McCarthy	mid	9.1
10	BALL	2	8	0	91%	McCarthy	tough	2.8
11	CHIL	3	39	0	80%	McCarthy	mid	6.9
12	@GBL	4	19	0	68%	McCarthy	mid	5.9
13	@SEAL	6	59	0	79%	Brosmer	soft	11.9
14	WASW	2	12	1	56%	McCarthy	soft	9.2
15	@DALW	4	66	0	80%	McCarthy	mid	10.6
16	@NYGW	1	2	0	75%	McCarthy	tough	1.2

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Separation — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025

Wk 3Wk 15

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: +0.5yd (3.5 → 4yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — MINvs TE · 2025 defenses

Fantasy playoffs (wk 15–17) · 2 soft, 0 tough

Wk 15

DET

Wk 16

WAS

Wk 17

@NYJ

Full season

Wk 1

Wk 2

@CHI

Wk 3

@TB

Wk 4

MIA

Wk 5

@NO

Wk 7

IND

Wk 8

@DET

Wk 9

BUF

Wk 10

@GB

Wk 11

@SF

Wk 12

ATL

Wk 13

CAR

Wk 14

@NE

Wk 15

DET

Wk 16

WAS

Wk 17

@NYJ

Wk 18

CHI

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to TEs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.