TrueSplits

Michael Pittman

WR · PIT · on the draft board

market valueWR42· 918 value· tier 36· ▼ down 190 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
11.9PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (11.9) · 17 games
SeasonLive · Free
Which QB was under centerLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

11.9
Avg PPG (split)
13.7
Median week
23.5
Ceiling
2.3
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: streakyTD-reliance: 21%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
10%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 18 chances
-0.1%
Team pass rate (PROE)
balanced play-caller (IND)
14%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (IND)
8.0
Target depth (aDOT)
avg air yards per target
3.0 yd
Separation
avg at the catch point
21%
Air-yards share
of the team's intended air yards
+0.4
YAC vs expected
yards after catch over expectation

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Across all 17 games, Michael Pittman averaged 11.9 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 163
7362% bust5% @1.5x246

Expect about 163 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 73 and 246, with a 62% chance of finishing below replacement (183).

Game log

17 games · 11.9 PPG avg
WkOppRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1MIAW680182%Jonesmid20.0
2DENW440083%Jonestough8.0
3@TENW673181%Jonessoft19.3
4@LAL541193%Jonessoft15.1
5LVW539182%Jonesmid14.9
6ARIW220085%Jonesmid4.0
7@LACW758187%Jonestough20.8
8TENW895179%Jonessoft23.5
9@PITL9115088%Jonessoft20.5
10ATLW219081%Jonesmid3.9
12@KCL527182%Jonestough13.7
13HOUL113083%Jonestough2.3
14@JAXL979087%Leonardmid16.9
15@SEAL326093%Riverstough5.6
16SFL432093%Riverssoft7.2
17JAXL216086%Riversmid3.6
18@HOUL211089%Leonardtough3.1

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Separation — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 1Wk 16

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: +0.4yd (2.83.2yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — PITvs WR · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 2 soft, 1 tough
Wk 15
BAL
Wk 16
CAR
Wk 17
@TEN
Full season
Wk 1
ATL
Wk 2
@NE
Wk 3
CIN
Wk 4
@CLE
Wk 5
IND
Wk 6
@TB
Wk 7
@NO
Wk 8
CLE
Wk 10
@CIN
Wk 11
@PHI
Wk 12
DEN
Wk 13
HOU
Wk 14
@JAX
Wk 15
BAL
Wk 16
CAR
Wk 17
@TEN
Wk 18
@BAL

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.