TrueSplits

Jordan Addison

WR · MIN · on the draft board

market valueWR44· 889 value· tier 36· ▲ up 311 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
9.7PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (9.7) · 14 games
⚡ What changed
Since J.J. McCarthy took over (Wk 9):6.3 PPGdown from 14.2
SeasonLive · Free
Which QB was under centerLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

9.7
Avg PPG (split)
9.3
Median week
21.8
Ceiling
0
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: streakyTD-reliance: 18%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
10%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 13 chances
-1.6%
Team pass rate (PROE)
balanced play-caller (MIN)
13%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (MIN)
14.4
Target depth (aDOT)
avg air yards per target
2.9 yd
Separation
avg at the catch point
30%
Air-yards share
of the team's intended air yards
+0.6
YAC vs expected
yards after catch over expectation

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Across all 14 games, Jordan Addison averaged 9.7 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 147
6675% bust5% @1.5x221

Expect about 147 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 66 and 221, with a 75% chance of finishing below replacement (183).

Game log

14 games · 9.7 PPG avg
WkOppRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
4@PITL4114096%Wentzsoft15.4
5@CLEW541175%Wentzmid15.1
7PHIL9128093%Wentztough21.8
8@LACL326186%Wentztough11.6
9@DETW248092%McCarthysoft8.4
10BALL335095%McCarthysoft6.5
11CHIL220196%McCarthysoft10.0
12@GBL00098%McCarthymid0.0
13@SEAL536092%Brosmertough8.6
14WASW462067%McCarthysoft10.2
15@DALW266064%McCarthysoft8.6
16@NYGW226067%McCarthysoft4.6
17DETW00078%Brosmersoft12.5
18GBW18093%McCarthymid1.8

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Separation — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 4Wk 14

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -0.7yd (3.32.7yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — MINvs WR · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 2 soft, 0 tough
Wk 15
DET
Wk 16
WAS
Wk 17
@NYJ
Full season
Wk 1
GB
Wk 2
@CHI
Wk 3
@TB
Wk 4
MIA
Wk 5
@NO
Wk 7
IND
Wk 8
@DET
Wk 9
BUF
Wk 10
@GB
Wk 11
@SF
Wk 12
ATL
Wk 13
CAR
Wk 14
@NE
Wk 15
DET
Wk 16
WAS
Wk 17
@NYJ
Wk 18
CHI

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.