TrueSplits

Trey McBride

TE · ARI · on the draft board

market valueTE2· 5,617 value· tier 12· ▼ down 385 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
18.6PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (18.6) · 17 games
⚡ What changed
Since Jacoby Brissett took over (Wk 6):21.1 PPGup from 12.5
SeasonLive · Free
Which QB was under centerLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

18.6
Avg PPG (split)
16.5
Median week
37.4
Ceiling
6.7
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: steadyTD-reliance: 21%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
22%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 34 chances
+5.8%
Team pass rate (PROE)
pass-leaning play-caller (ARI)
14%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (ARI)
6.9
Target depth (aDOT)
avg air yards per target
3.1 yd
Separation
avg at the catch point
26%
Air-yards share
of the team's intended air yards
+0.7
YAC vs expected
yards after catch over expectation

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Across all 17 games, Trey McBride averaged 18.6 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 192
9914% bust64% @1.5x285

Expect about 192 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 99 and 285, with a 14% chance of finishing below replacement (110).

Game log

17 games · 18.6 PPG avg
WkOppRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1@NOW661097%Murraytough12.1
2CARW678091%Murraymid13.8
3@SFL543188%Murraymid15.3
4SEAL752096%Murraysoft12.2
5TENL541090%Murraysoft9.1
6@INDL872190%Brissettsoft21.2
7GBL1074287%Brissettmid29.4
9@DALW555188%Brissettmid16.5
10@SEAL9127184%Brissettsoft27.7
11SFL10115189%Brissettmid27.5
12JAXL979088%Brissettmid16.9
13@TBL882189%Brissettsoft22.2
14LAL558097%Brissettmid10.8
15@HOUL12134292%Brissetttough37.4
16ATLL427096%Brissetttough6.7
17@CINL1076196%Brissettsoft23.6
18@LAL765095%Brissettmid13.5

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Separation — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 1Wk 18

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: 0yd (33.1yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — ARIvs TE · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 1 soft, 1 tough
Wk 15
NYJ
Wk 16
@NO
Wk 17
LV
Full season
Wk 1
@LAC
Wk 2
SEA
Wk 3
@SF
Wk 4
@NYG
Wk 5
DET
Wk 6
@LA
Wk 7
DEN
Wk 8
@DAL
Wk 9
@SEA
Wk 10
LA
Wk 11
@KC
Wk 12
WAS
Wk 13
PHI
Wk 15
NYJ
Wk 16
@NO
Wk 17
LV
Wk 18
SF

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to TEs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.