TrueSplits

Drake Maye

QB · NE · on the draft board

market valueQB4· 3,272 value· tier 23· ▼ down 50 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
20.7PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (20.7) · 17 games
SeasonLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

20.7
Avg PPG (split)
20.5
Median week
32.4
Ceiling
12.1
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: steadyTD-reliance: 60% · regression risk
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
14%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 22 chances
+4%
Team pass rate (PROE)
pass-leaning play-caller (NE)
12%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (NE)
+9.1%
Completion % over exp
accuracy vs throw difficulty
2.97s
Time to throw
avg snap to release

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Across all 17 games, Drake Maye averaged 20.7 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 298
14633% bust11% @1.5x390

Expect about 298 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 146 and 390, with a 33% chance of finishing below replacement (257).

Game log

17 games · 20.7 PPG avg
WkOppPass ydTDINTRush ydTDSnapQBDefPts
1LVL28711110100%Mayetough15.8
2@MIAW23020311100%Mayesoft26.3
3PITL26821450100%Mayesoft19.2
4CARW2032011188%Mayetough23.2
5@BUFW27300120100%Mayetough12.1
6@NOW26130280100%Mayemid27.2
7@TENW2222062085%Mayemid23.1
8CLEW28231500100%Mayetough26.3
9ATLW25921200100%Mayemid16.4
10@TBW27021130100%Mayesoft18.1
11NYJW2811020100%Mayesoft15.4
12@CINW29411220100%Mayesoft16.0
13NYGW28220120100%Mayemid20.5
15BUFL15501432100%Mayetough20.5
16@BALW38021250100%Mayemid23.7
17@NYJW2565022079%Mayesoft32.4
18MIAW1911041076%Mayesoft15.7

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Completion % over expected — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 1Wk 23

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -15.3% (10.3-5.1%). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — NEvs QB · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 1 soft, 1 tough
Wk 15
@KC
Wk 16
@NYJ
Wk 17
DEN
Full season
Wk 1
@SEA
Wk 2
PIT
Wk 3
@JAX
Wk 4
@BUF
Wk 5
LV
Wk 6
NYJ
Wk 7
@CHI
Wk 8
@MIA
Wk 9
GB
Wk 10
@DET
Wk 12
@LAC
Wk 13
BUF
Wk 14
MIN
Wk 15
@KC
Wk 16
@NYJ
Wk 17
DEN
Wk 18
MIA

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to QBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.