TrueSplits

Devaughn Vele

WR · NO · on the draft board

community activityADP rising
market valueWR75· 4 value· tier 45· ▲ up 4 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
7.4PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (7.4) · 9 games
⚡ What changed
Since he stepped into a lead role (Wk 12):12.2 PPGup from 3.5
SeasonLive · Free
Which QB was under centerLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

7.4
Avg PPG (split)
6.7
Median week
23.3
Ceiling
2
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: volatileTD-reliance: 18%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
4%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 5 chances
-1.9%
Team pass rate (PROE)
balanced play-caller (NO)
10%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (NO)

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Boom/bust watch: 53% of the points in this split came from just 2 games — the median week is lower than the average implies.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 99
4495% bust5% @1.5x149

Expect about 99 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 44 and 149, with a 95% chance of finishing below replacement (183).

Game log

9 games · 7.4 PPG avg
WkOppRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1ARIL113023%!Rattlermid2.3
2SFL13134%!Rattlersoft7.3
5NYGW213038%!Rattlersoft3.3
8TBL110051%Shoughmid2.0
10@CARW115087%Shoughtough2.5
12ATLL337089%Shoughmid6.7
13@MIAL893188%Shoughmid23.3
14@TBW340093%Shoughmid7.0
15CARW569055%Shoughtough11.9

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Schedule ahead — NOvs WR · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 1 soft, 0 tough
Wk 15
@TB
Wk 16
ARI
Wk 17
@ATL
Full season
Wk 1
@DET
Wk 2
@BAL
Wk 3
LV
Wk 4
ATL
Wk 5
MIN
Wk 6
@NYG
Wk 7
PIT
Wk 9
CLE
Wk 10
CAR
Wk 11
@CHI
Wk 12
@CIN
Wk 13
GB
Wk 14
@CAR
Wk 15
@TB
Wk 16
ARI
Wk 17
@ATL
Wk 18
TB

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.