TrueSplits

Mark Andrews

TE · BAL · on the draft board

market valueTE13· 721 value· tier 37· ▲ up 27 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
7.7PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (7.7) · 17 games
⚡ What changed
Since he lost his lead role (Wk 14):4.1 PPGdown from 9.2
SeasonLive · Free
Which QB was under centerLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

7.7
Avg PPG (split)
6.4
Median week
27.1
Ceiling
1.4
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: volatileTD-reliance: 27%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
11%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 18 chances
-9.5%
Team pass rate (PROE)
run-leaning play-caller (BAL)
9%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (BAL)
7.8
Target depth (aDOT)
avg air yards per target
2.9 yd
Separation
avg at the catch point
16%
Air-yards share
of the team's intended air yards
-0.4
YAC vs expected
yards after catch over expectation

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Across all 17 games, Mark Andrews averaged 7.7 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 132
6834% bust25% @1.5x196

Expect about 132 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 68 and 196, with a 34% chance of finishing below replacement (110).

Game log

17 games · 7.7 PPG avg
WkOppRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1@BUFL15075%Jacksontough1.5
2CLEW12080%Jacksontough1.4
3DETL691281%Jacksonmid27.1
4@KCL730055%Jacksontough10.0
5HOUL222058%Rushtough4.2
6LAL424078%Rushmid6.6
8CHIW334060%Huntleymid6.4
9@MIAW222250%Jacksonsoft16.6
10@MINW314163%Jacksontough10.4
11@CLEW332061%Jacksontough15.7
12NYJW19067%Jacksonsoft2.1
13CINL447068%Jacksonsoft8.7
14PITL19068%Jacksonsoft1.9
15@CINW218041%Jacksonsoft3.8
16NEL221044%Huntleysoft4.4
17@GBW428041%Huntleymid6.8
18@PITL214059%Jacksonsoft3.4

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Separation — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 3Wk 14

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -0.1yd (32.8yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — BALvs TE · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 2 soft, 1 tough
Wk 15
@PIT
Wk 16
CLE
Wk 17
@CIN
Full season
Wk 1
@IND
Wk 2
NO
Wk 3
@DAL
Wk 4
TEN
Wk 5
@ATL
Wk 6
@CLE
Wk 7
CIN
Wk 8
@BUF
Wk 9
JAX
Wk 10
LAC
Wk 11
@CAR
Wk 12
@HOU
Wk 14
TB
Wk 15
@PIT
Wk 16
CLE
Wk 17
@CIN
Wk 18
PIT

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to TEs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.