TrueSplits

Chuba Hubbard

RB · CAR · on the draft board

market valueRB28· 1,435 value· tier 33· ▼ down 674 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
8.4PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (8.4) · 15 games
⚡ What changed
Since returning (Wk 7):6.3 PPGdown from 14
Since he lost his lead role (Wk 9):5.8 PPGdown from 12.2
SeasonLive · Free
Which QB was under centerLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

8.4
Avg PPG (split)
7.5
Median week
20.4
Ceiling
1.7
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: streakyTD-reliance: 19%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
18%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 25 chances
-3.6%
Team pass rate (PROE)
run-leaning play-caller (CAR)
10%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (CAR)
-0.30
Rush yds over exp / att
efficiency vs his blocking
20%
Stacked boxes
carries vs 8+ defenders

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Across all 15 games, Chuba Hubbard averaged 8.4 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 128
4262% bust8% @1.5x209

Expect about 128 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 42 and 209, with a 62% chance of finishing below replacement (148).

Game log

15 games · 8.4 PPG avg
WkOppRush ydTDRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1@JAXL570332167%Youngtough17.9
2@ARIL380539174%Youngsoft18.7
3ATLW73023062%Youngmid9.6
4@NEL490320051%Youngtough9.9
7@NYJW310224054%Youngsoft7.5
8BUFL34100057%Daltonsoft9.4
9@GBW17000022%!Youngmid1.7
10NOL14011021%!Youngmid2.5
11@ATLW21017019%!Youngmid3.8
12@SFL160427035%!Youngsoft8.3
13LAW830241159%Youngmid20.4
15@NOL29019042%Youngmid4.8
16TBW27017041%Youngmid4.4
17SEAL12036038%!Youngtough2.8
18@TBL10027045%Youngmid3.7

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Rush yards over expected / att — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 1Wk 19

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -0.1 (-0.3-0.5). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — CARvs RB · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 1 soft, 2 tough
Wk 15
CIN
Wk 16
@PIT
Wk 17
SEA
Full season
Wk 1
CHI
Wk 2
@ATL
Wk 3
@CLE
Wk 4
DET
Wk 6
@PHI
Wk 7
TB
Wk 8
@GB
Wk 9
DEN
Wk 10
@NO
Wk 11
BAL
Wk 12
@TB
Wk 13
@MIN
Wk 14
NO
Wk 15
CIN
Wk 16
@PIT
Wk 17
SEA
Wk 18
ATL

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to RBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.