TrueSplits

Brenton Strange

TE · JAX · on the draft board

community activityADP rising
market valueTE20· 226 value· tier 41· ▼ down 109 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
9.8PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (9.8) · 12 games
SeasonLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

9.8
Avg PPG (split)
10.2
Median week
17.2
Ceiling
3.2
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: steadyTD-reliance: 15%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
5%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 10 chances
+1.9%
Team pass rate (PROE)
balanced play-caller (JAX)
10%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (JAX)
6.6
Target depth (aDOT)
avg air yards per target
3.9 yd
Separation
avg at the catch point
8%
Air-yards share
of the team's intended air yards
-0.2
YAC vs expected
yards after catch over expectation

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Across all 12 games, Brenton Strange averaged 9.8 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 107
5553% bust8% @1.5x159

Expect about 107 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 55 and 159, with a 53% chance of finishing below replacement (110).

Game log

12 games · 9.8 PPG avg
WkOppRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1CARW459079%Lawrencemid9.9
2@CINL317090%Lawrencesoft4.7
3HOUW661083%Lawrencetough12.1
4@SFW645074%Lawrencemid10.5
5KCW122038%!Lawrencetough3.2
12@ARIW593071%Lawrencesoft14.3
13@TENW345184%Lawrencesoft13.5
14INDW327080%Lawrencesoft5.7
15NYJW126082%Lawrencesoft3.6
16@DENW539174%Lawrencemid14.9
17@INDW354081%Lawrencesoft8.4
18TENW652162%Lawrencesoft17.2

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Separation — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 2Wk 19

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -0.2yd (3.73.6yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — JAXvs TE · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 1 soft, 0 tough
Wk 15
@HOU
Wk 16
@DAL
Wk 17
WAS
Full season
Wk 1
CLE
Wk 2
@DEN
Wk 3
NE
Wk 4
@CIN
Wk 5
PHI
Wk 6
HOU
Wk 8
IND
Wk 9
@BAL
Wk 10
@TEN
Wk 11
@NYG
Wk 12
TEN
Wk 13
@CHI
Wk 14
PIT
Wk 15
@HOU
Wk 16
@DAL
Wk 17
WAS
Wk 18
@IND

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to TEs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.