TrueSplits

Jordan Love

QB · GB · on the draft board

market valueQB18· 807 value· tier 37· ▲ up 52 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
15.7PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (15.7) · 15 games
SeasonLive · Free
Which QB was under centerLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

15.7
Avg PPG (split)
15
Median week
28.3
Ceiling
3.8
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: steadyTD-reliance: 59% · regression risk
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
4%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 6 chances
-3.6%
Team pass rate (PROE)
run-leaning play-caller (GB)
12%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (GB)
+3.8%
Completion % over exp
accuracy vs throw difficulty
2.89s
Time to throw
avg snap to release

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Across all 15 games, Jordan Love averaged 15.7 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 220
10877% bust5% @1.5x288

Expect about 220 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 108 and 288, with a 77% chance of finishing below replacement (257).

Game log

15 games · 15.7 PPG avg
WkOppPass ydTDINTRush ydTDSnapQBDefPts
1DETW1882040100%Lovesoft15.9
2WASW29220120100%Lovesoft20.9
3@CLEL18311180100%Lovetough11.1
4@DALL33730280100%Lovesoft26.3
6CINW25911260100%Lovesoft15.0
7@ARIW17910220100%Lovemid13.4
8@PITW36030-10100%Lovesoft28.3
9CARL2730110100%Lovetough9.0
10PHIL17600280100%Lovemid7.8
11@NYGW174207087%Lovemid17.7
12MINW1390015091%Lovetough7.1
13@DETW2344040100%Lovesoft25.8
14CHIW23431-10100%Lovesoft19.3
15@DENL27612290100%Lovetough13.9
16@CHIL77007036%!Willissoft3.8

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Completion % over expected — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 1Wk 19

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: +1% (3.44.4%). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — GBvs QB · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 2 soft, 1 tough
Wk 15
MIA
Wk 16
@CHI
Wk 17
HOU
Full season
Wk 1
@MIN
Wk 2
@NYJ
Wk 3
ATL
Wk 4
@TB
Wk 5
CHI
Wk 6
DAL
Wk 7
@DET
Wk 8
CAR
Wk 9
@NE
Wk 10
MIN
Wk 12
@LA
Wk 13
@NO
Wk 14
BUF
Wk 15
MIA
Wk 16
@CHI
Wk 17
HOU
Wk 18
DET

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to QBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.