TrueSplits

Brian Robinson

RB · ATL · on the draft board

market valueRB51· 131 value· tier 43· ▲ up 22 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
3.7PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (3.7) · 17 games
SeasonLive · Free
Which QB was under centerLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

3.7
Avg PPG (split)
2.6
Median week
11.5
Ceiling
0
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: volatileTD-reliance: 19%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
9%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 17 chances
+0.2%
Team pass rate (PROE)
balanced play-caller (SF)
11%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (SF)
-0.06
Rush yds over exp / att
efficiency vs his blocking
30%
Stacked boxes
carries vs 8+ defenders

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Across all 17 games, Brian Robinson averaged 3.7 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 81
2695% bust5% @1.5x132

Expect about 81 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 26 and 132, with a 95% chance of finishing below replacement (148).

Game log

17 games · 3.7 PPG avg
WkOppRush ydTDRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1@SEAW33014024%!Purdytough4.7
2@NOW2001-1023%!Jonesmid2.9
3ARIW2200009%!Jonessoft2.2
4JAXL21000015%!Purdytough2.1
5@LAW12000014%!Jonesmid1.2
6@TBL003807%!Jonesmid3.8
7ATLW36000025%!Jonesmid3.6
8@HOUL000004%!Jonestough0.0
9@NYGW53100014%!Jonessoft11.3
10LAL41114022%!Jonesmid11.5
11@ARIW24000029%!Purdysoft2.4
12CARW40014017%!Purdysoft5.4
13@CLEW26000021%!Purdymid2.6
15TENW21000016%!Purdymid2.1
16@INDW20000015%!Purdytough2.0
17CHIW22016015%!Purdysoft3.8
18SEAL9000014%!Purdytough0.9

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Schedule ahead — ATLvs RB · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 1 soft, 0 tough
Wk 15
@WAS
Wk 16
TB
Wk 17
NO
Full season
Wk 1
@PIT
Wk 2
CAR
Wk 3
@GB
Wk 4
@NO
Wk 5
BAL
Wk 6
CHI
Wk 7
SF
Wk 8
@TB
Wk 9
CIN
Wk 10
KC
Wk 12
@MIN
Wk 13
DET
Wk 14
@CLE
Wk 15
@WAS
Wk 16
TB
Wk 17
NO
Wk 18
@CAR

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to RBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.