TrueSplits

Cam Ward

QB · TEN · on the draft board

community activityADP rising
market valueQB23· 246 value· tier 41· ▼ down 150 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
11PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (11) · 17 games
Which QB was under centerLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

11
Avg PPG (split)
10.2
Median week
23.9
Ceiling
2.5
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: steadyTD-reliance: 55% · regression risk
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
10%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 10 chances
-3.7%
Team pass rate (PROE)
run-leaning play-caller (TEN)
10%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (TEN)
-3.0%
Completion % over exp
accuracy vs throw difficulty
3.00s
Time to throw
avg snap to release

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Across all 17 games, Cam Ward averaged 11 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 205
10085% bust5% @1.5x267

Expect about 205 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 100 and 267, with a 85% chance of finishing below replacement (257).

Game log

17 games · 11.0 PPG avg
WkOppPass ydTDINTRush ydTDSnapQBDefPts
1@DENL1120000100%Wardtough2.5
2LAL1751080100%Wardmid9.8
3INDL21911120100%Wardmid12.0
4@HOUL10801220100%Wardmid4.5
5@ARIW26501-60100%Wardmid8.0
6@LVL2221100100%Wardtough6.9
7NEL2551100100%Wardtough10.2
8@INDL2591140100%Wardmid12.8
9LACL1450060100%Wardtough6.4
11HOUL19410330100%Wardmid13.1
12SEAL25610371100%Wardtough23.9
13JAXL1410070100%Wardtough6.3
14@CLEW1172140100%Wardtough11.1
15@SFL1702020100%Wardsoft15.0
16KCW2282090100%Wardtough18.0
17NOL25120100100%Wardmid17.0
18@JAXL52001119%!Allentough9.2

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Completion % over expected — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 1Wk 17

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: 0% (-4-3.9%). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — TENvs QB · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 1 soft, 0 tough
Wk 15
IND
Wk 16
@LV
Wk 17
PIT
Full season
Wk 1
NYJ
Wk 2
PHI
Wk 3
@NYG
Wk 4
@BAL
Wk 5
HOU
Wk 6
@IND
Wk 7
CLE
Wk 8
@CIN
Wk 10
JAX
Wk 11
@DAL
Wk 12
@JAX
Wk 13
WAS
Wk 14
@DET
Wk 15
IND
Wk 16
@LV
Wk 17
PIT
Wk 18
@HOU

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to QBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.