TrueSplits

Brock Purdy

QB · SF · on the draft board

market valueQB13· 1,521 value· tier 33· ▲ up 287 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
19.7PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (19.7) · 9 games
SeasonLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

19.7
Avg PPG (split)
17.7
Median week
36.9
Ceiling
5.2
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: streakyTD-reliance: 78% · regression risk
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
4%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 7 chances
+0.2%
Team pass rate (PROE)
balanced play-caller (SF)
11%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (SF)
+5.1%
Completion % over exp
accuracy vs throw difficulty
3.17s
Time to throw
avg snap to release

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Across all 9 games, Brock Purdy averaged 19.7 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 262
12948% bust5% @1.5x342

Expect about 262 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 129 and 342, with a 48% chance of finishing below replacement (257).

Game log

9 games · 19.7 PPG avg
WkOppPass ydTDINTRush ydTDSnapQBDefPts
1@SEAW27722170100%Purdytough16.8
4JAXL30922130100%Purdytough17.7
11@ARIW20030-7091%Purdymid19.3
12CARW19313160100%Purdytough7.3
13@CLEW168104194%Purdytough17.1
15TENW29530440100%Purdymid26.2
16@INDW2955111095%Purdymid30.9
17CHIW30331282100%Purdysoft36.9
18SEAL12701210100%Purdytough5.2

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Completion % over expected — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 1Wk 20

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -6.1% (6.40.3%). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — SFvs QB · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 0 soft, 2 tough
Wk 15
@LAC
Wk 16
@KC
Wk 17
PHI
Full season
Wk 1
@LA
Wk 2
MIA
Wk 3
ARI
Wk 4
DEN
Wk 5
@SEA
Wk 6
WAS
Wk 7
@ATL
Wk 9
LV
Wk 10
@DAL
Wk 11
MIN
Wk 12
SEA
Wk 13
@NYG
Wk 14
LA
Wk 15
@LAC
Wk 16
@KC
Wk 17
PHI
Wk 18
@ARI

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to QBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.