TrueSplits

Pat Freiermuth

TE · PIT · on the draft board

community activityADP falling
7.6PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (7.6) · 15 games
SeasonLive · Free
Which QB was under centerLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

7.6
Avg PPG (split)
6.1
Median week
28.1
Ceiling
1.6
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: volatileTD-reliance: 21%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
6%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 9 chances
-0.2%
Team pass rate (PROE)
balanced play-caller (PIT)
9%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (PIT)
5.9
Target depth (aDOT)
avg air yards per target
3.2 yd
Separation
avg at the catch point
10%
Air-yards share
of the team's intended air yards
+2.4
YAC vs expected
yards after catch over expectation

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Across all 15 games, Pat Freiermuth averaged 7.6 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 85
4478% bust5% @1.5x126

Expect about 85 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 44 and 126, with a 78% chance of finishing below replacement (110).

Game log

15 games · 7.6 PPG avg
WkOppRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1@NYJW328050%Rodgerssoft5.8
2SEAL331050%Rodgerssoft6.1
3@NEW16070%Rodgerssoft1.6
6CLEW111036%!Rodgerstough2.1
7@CINL5111265%Rodgerssoft28.1
8GBL313043%Rodgersmid4.3
9INDW327147%Rodgerssoft11.7
10@LACL333050%Rodgerstough6.3
11CINW119046%Rudolphsoft2.9
12@CHIL319147%Rudolphmid10.9
14@BALW29060%Rodgerstough2.9
15MIAW345042%Rodgerssoft7.5
16@DETW420043%Rodgersmid6.0
17@CLEL363070%Rodgerstough9.3
18BALW351069%Rodgerstough8.1

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Schedule ahead — PITvs TE · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 0 soft, 1 tough
Wk 15
BAL
Wk 16
CAR
Wk 17
@TEN
Full season
Wk 1
ATL
Wk 2
@NE
Wk 3
CIN
Wk 4
@CLE
Wk 5
IND
Wk 6
@TB
Wk 7
@NO
Wk 8
CLE
Wk 10
@CIN
Wk 11
@PHI
Wk 12
DEN
Wk 13
HOU
Wk 14
@JAX
Wk 15
BAL
Wk 16
CAR
Wk 17
@TEN
Wk 18
@BAL

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to TEs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.