TrueSplits

Jayden Daniels

QB · WAS · on the draft board

market valueQB5· 2,764 value· tier 25· ▼ down 53 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
16.3PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (16.3) · 7 games
SeasonLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

16.3
Avg PPG (split)
17.7
Median week
21.6
Ceiling
2.7
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: steadyTD-reliance: 53% · regression risk
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
5%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 7 chances
-1.7%
Team pass rate (PROE)
balanced play-caller (WAS)
12%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (WAS)
-3.3%
Completion % over exp
accuracy vs throw difficulty
2.79s
Time to throw
avg snap to release

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Across all 7 games, Jayden Daniels averaged 16.3 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 262
12948% bust5% @1.5x342

Expect about 262 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 129 and 342, with a 48% chance of finishing below replacement (257).

Game log

7 games · 16.3 PPG avg
WkOppPass ydTDINTRush ydTDSnapQBDefPts
1NYGW23310680100%Danielsmid20.1
2@GBL20020170100%Danielssoft19.7
5@LACW23110390100%Danielstough17.1
6CHIL21131520100%Danielssoft21.6
7@DALL1561035169%Danielssoft17.7
9SEAL1530151188%Danielstough15.2
14@MINL780116075%Danielstough2.7

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Completion % over expected — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 1Wk 14

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -5% (-1.1-6.1%). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — WASvs QB · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 0 soft, 1 tough
Wk 15
ATL
Wk 16
@MIN
Wk 17
@JAX
Full season
Wk 1
@PHI
Wk 2
@DAL
Wk 3
SEA
Wk 4
IND
Wk 5
NYG
Wk 6
@SF
Wk 8
PHI
Wk 9
LA
Wk 10
@NYG
Wk 11
CIN
Wk 12
@ARI
Wk 13
@TEN
Wk 14
HOU
Wk 15
ATL
Wk 16
@MIN
Wk 17
@JAX
Wk 18
DAL

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to QBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.