TrueSplits

Bucky Irving

RB · TB · on the draft board

market valueRB21· 3,273 value· tier 23· ▼ down 677 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
13.8PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (13.8) · 10 games
⚡ What changed
Since returning (Wk 13):11.1 PPGdown from 18
SeasonLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

13.8
Avg PPG (split)
14.2
Median week
25.5
Ceiling
7.1
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: steadyTD-reliance: 17%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
15%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 22 chances
-2.5%
Team pass rate (PROE)
balanced play-caller (TB)
8%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (TB)
-0.74
Rush yds over exp / att
efficiency vs his blocking
17%
Stacked boxes
carries vs 8+ defenders

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Across all 10 games, Bucky Irving averaged 13.8 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 160
5245% bust23% @1.5x263

Expect about 160 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 52 and 263, with a 45% chance of finishing below replacement (148).

Game log

10 games · 13.8 PPG avg
WkOppRush ydTDRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1@ATLW37048176%Mayfieldmid14.5
2@HOUW710650071%Mayfieldtough18.1
3NYJW660433074%Mayfieldsoft13.9
4PHIL6305102161%Mayfieldmid25.5
13ARIW611220052%Mayfieldsoft16.1
14NOL550226149%Mayfieldmid16.1
15ATLL600111054%Mayfieldmid8.1
16@CARL71000062%Mayfieldsoft7.1
17@MIAL190514054%Mayfieldmid8.3
18CARW850113063%Mayfieldsoft10.8

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Rush yards over expected / att — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 1Wk 18

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -0.4 (-0.4-0.8). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — TBvs RB · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 0 soft, 0 tough
Wk 15
NO
Wk 16
@ATL
Wk 17
LA
Full season
Wk 1
@CIN
Wk 2
CLE
Wk 3
MIN
Wk 4
GB
Wk 5
@DAL
Wk 6
PIT
Wk 7
@CAR
Wk 8
ATL
Wk 9
@CHI
Wk 11
@DET
Wk 12
CAR
Wk 13
LAC
Wk 14
@BAL
Wk 15
NO
Wk 16
@ATL
Wk 17
LA
Wk 18
@NO

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to RBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.