TrueSplits

Javonte Williams

RB · DAL · on the draft board

market valueRB14· 4,834 value· tier 16· ▲ up 752 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
15.2PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (15.2) · 16 games
SeasonLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

15.2
Avg PPG (split)
14.9
Median week
26.9
Ceiling
6.3
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: steadyTD-reliance: 32%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
34%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 66 chances
+0.4%
Team pass rate (PROE)
balanced play-caller (DAL)
13%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (DAL)
+0.62
Rush yds over exp / att
efficiency vs his blocking
23%
Stacked boxes
carries vs 8+ defenders

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Across all 16 games, Javonte Williams averaged 15.2 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 179
5838% bust32% @1.5x293

Expect about 179 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 58 and 293, with a 38% chance of finishing below replacement (148).

Game log

16 games · 15.2 PPG avg
WkOppRush ydTDRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1@PHIL542210077%Prescottmid20.4
2NYGW971633072%Prescottsoft25.0
3@CHIL760516059%Prescottsoft12.2
4GBL851315080%Prescottmid19.0
5@NYJW135114177%Prescottsoft26.9
6@CARL29055085%Prescottsoft8.4
7WASW116112069%Prescottsoft18.8
8@DENL41218072%Prescotttough17.9
9ARIL83010087%Prescottsoft7.3
11@LVW93010078%Prescottmid10.3
12PHIW870214078%Prescottmid12.1
13KCW590321178%Prescotttough17.0
14@DETL67120079%Prescotttough14.7
15MINL91100029%!Prescotttough15.1
16LACL34029057%Prescotttough6.3
17@WASW54100027%!Prescottsoft11.4

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Rush yards over expected / att — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 1Wk 17

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -0.4 (0.80.4). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — DALvs RB · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 1 soft, 1 tough
Wk 15
@LA
Wk 16
JAX
Wk 17
NYG
Full season
Wk 1
@NYG
Wk 2
WAS
Wk 3
BAL
Wk 4
@HOU
Wk 5
TB
Wk 6
@GB
Wk 7
@PHI
Wk 8
ARI
Wk 9
@IND
Wk 10
SF
Wk 11
TEN
Wk 12
PHI
Wk 13
@SEA
Wk 15
@LA
Wk 16
JAX
Wk 17
NYG
Wk 18
@WAS

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to RBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.