Justice Hill
RB · BAL · on the draft board
Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.
Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.
Boom/bust watch: 58% of the points in this split came from just 2 games — the median week is lower than the average implies.
Expect about 70 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 23 and 114, with a 95% chance of finishing below replacement (148).
Game log
10 games · 6.5 PPG avg| Wk | Opp | Rush yd | TD | Rec | Yds | TD | Snap | QB | Def | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @BUFL | -14 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 45% | Jackson | soft | -0.1 |
| 2 | CLEW | 7 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 39%! | Jackson | mid | 5.5 |
| 3 | DETL | 0 | 0 | 3 | 45 | 0 | 51% | Jackson | tough | 7.5 |
| 4 | @KCL | 76 | 1 | 5 | 41 | 1 | 58% | Jackson | tough | 28.7 |
| 5 | HOUL | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 30%! | Rush | tough | 2.2 |
| 6 | LAL | 16 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 0 | 45% | Rush | mid | 9.4 |
| 8 | CHIW | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31%! | Huntley | soft | 0.2 |
| 9 | @MIAW | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 20%! | Jackson | mid | 3.5 |
| 10 | @MINW | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 27%! | Jackson | tough | 8.3 |
| 12 | NYJW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25%! | Jackson | soft | 0.0 |
Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.
Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to RBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.