TrueSplits

Puka Nacua

WR · LA · on the draft board

market valueWR2· 8,916 value· tier 4· ▼ down 304 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
23.4PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (23.4) · 16 games
SeasonLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

23.4
Avg PPG (split)
23
Median week
46.5
Ceiling
4.8
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: steadyTD-reliance: 18%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
9%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 18 chances
+5.1%
Team pass rate (PROE)
pass-leaning play-caller (LA)
17%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (LA)
8.9
Target depth (aDOT)
avg air yards per target
2.9 yd
Separation
avg at the catch point
28%
Air-yards share
of the team's intended air yards
+1.3
YAC vs expected
yards after catch over expectation

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Across all 16 games, Puka Nacua averaged 23.4 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 279
12522% bust51% @1.5x420

Expect about 279 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 125 and 420, with a 22% chance of finishing below replacement (183).

Game log

16 games · 23.4 PPG avg
WkOppRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1HOUW10130063%Staffordtough23.1
2@TENW891069%Staffordsoft27.6
3@PHIL11112091%Staffordtough22.8
4INDW13170181%Staffordsoft36.0
5SFL1085193%Staffordsoft24.5
6@BALW228051%Staffordsoft4.8
9NOW795149%Staffordtough22.8
10@SFW564152%Staffordsoft17.4
11SEAW775067%Staffordtough14.3
12TBW797082%Staffordmid16.7
13@CARL672073%Staffordtough13.2
14@ARIW7167244%Staffordmid35.7
15DETW9181056%Staffordsoft27.9
16@SEAL12225278%Staffordtough46.5
17@ATLL547174%Staffordmid15.7
18ARIW1076169%Staffordmid26.0

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Separation — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 1Wk 21

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -0.1yd (2.82.8yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — LAvs WR · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 1 soft, 1 tough
Wk 15
DAL
Wk 16
@SEA
Wk 17
@TB
Full season
Wk 1
SF
Wk 2
NYG
Wk 3
@DEN
Wk 4
@PHI
Wk 5
BUF
Wk 6
ARI
Wk 7
@LV
Wk 8
LAC
Wk 9
@WAS
Wk 10
@ARI
Wk 12
GB
Wk 13
KC
Wk 14
@SF
Wk 15
DAL
Wk 16
@SEA
Wk 17
@TB
Wk 18
SEA

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.