DJ Moore
WR · BUF · on the draft board
Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.
Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.
Across all 17 games, DJ Moore averaged 10.1 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.
Expect about 186 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 83 and 280, with a 49% chance of finishing below replacement (183).
Game log
17 games · 10.1 PPG avg| Wk | Opp | Rec | Yds | TD | Snap | QB | Def | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MINL | 3 | 68 | 0 | 84% | Williams | tough | 10.6 |
| 2 | @DETL | 5 | 46 | 0 | 88% | Williams | soft | 9.6 |
| 3 | DALW | 4 | 21 | 1 | 90% | Williams | soft | 12.8 |
| 4 | @LVW | 4 | 38 | 0 | 76% | Williams | mid | 7.8 |
| 6 | @WASW | 3 | 42 | 0 | 94% | Williams | soft | 8.2 |
| 7 | NOW | 3 | 43 | 0 | 87% | Williams | tough | 8.2 |
| 8 | @BALL | 4 | 73 | 0 | 84% | Williams | soft | 11.6 |
| 9 | @CINW | 4 | 72 | 0 | 85% | Williams | tough | 23.0 |
| 10 | NYGW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 62% | Williams | soft | 0.0 |
| 11 | @MINW | 1 | 18 | 0 | 81% | Williams | tough | 3.1 |
| 12 | PITW | 5 | 64 | 2 | 77% | Williams | soft | 23.4 |
| 13 | @PHIW | 2 | 17 | 0 | 91% | Williams | tough | 4.7 |
| 14 | @GBL | 1 | -4 | 0 | 83% | Williams | mid | 0.6 |
| 15 | CLEW | 4 | 69 | 2 | 88% | Williams | mid | 22.9 |
| 16 | GBW | 5 | 97 | 1 | 95% | Williams | mid | 21.9 |
| 17 | @SFL | 1 | 7 | 0 | 92% | Williams | soft | 1.7 |
| 18 | DETL | 1 | 11 | 0 | 85% | Williams | soft | 2.1 |
Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.
Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -0.8yd (3.8 → 3yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.
Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.