TrueSplits

Keenan Allen

WR · IND · on the draft board

market valueWR59· 221 value· tier 41· ▲ up 221 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
10.7PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (10.7) · 17 games
⚡ What changed
Since he lost his lead role (Wk 5):9 PPGdown from 16.3
SeasonLive · Free
Which QB was under centerLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

10.7
Avg PPG (split)
8.7
Median week
28.9
Ceiling
2.7
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: streakyTD-reliance: 13%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
10%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 16 chances
+1.8%
Team pass rate (PROE)
balanced play-caller (LAC)
12%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (LAC)
8.5
Target depth (aDOT)
avg air yards per target
2.6 yd
Separation
avg at the catch point
23%
Air-yards share
of the team's intended air yards
+0.3
YAC vs expected
yards after catch over expectation

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Across all 17 games, Keenan Allen averaged 10.7 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 126
5687% bust5% @1.5x190

Expect about 126 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 56 and 190, with a 87% chance of finishing below replacement (183).

Game log

17 games · 10.7 PPG avg
WkOppRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1KCW768162%Herberttough19.8
2@LVW561155%Herbertmid17.1
3DENW765165%Herberttough19.5
4@NYGL537078%Herbertsoft8.7
5WASL558058%Herbertsoft10.8
6@MIAW427056%Herbertmid6.7
7INDL11119164%Herbertsoft28.9
8MINW444025%!Herberttough8.4
9@TENW241037%!Herbertsoft6.1
10PITW219051%Herbertsoft3.9
11@JAXL453075%Herbertmid9.3
13LVW430060%Herbertmid7.0
14PHIW322057%Herberttough5.2
15@KCW536042%Herberttough8.6
16@DALW544047%Herbertsoft9.4
17HOUL117057%Herberttough2.7
18@DENL736054%Lancetough10.6

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Separation — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 1Wk 19

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: +0.6yd (2.53.1yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — INDvs WR · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 1 soft, 2 tough
Wk 15
@TEN
Wk 16
CIN
Wk 17
@CLE
Full season
Wk 1
BAL
Wk 2
@KC
Wk 3
HOU
Wk 4
@WAS
Wk 5
@PIT
Wk 6
TEN
Wk 7
@MIN
Wk 8
@JAX
Wk 9
DAL
Wk 10
MIA
Wk 11
@HOU
Wk 12
NYG
Wk 14
@PHI
Wk 15
@TEN
Wk 16
CIN
Wk 17
@CLE
Wk 18
JAX

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.