TrueSplits

Kyren Williams

RB · LA · on the draft board

market valueRB15· 4,718 value· tier 17· ▲ up 426 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
15.5PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (15.5) · 17 games
SeasonLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

15.5
Avg PPG (split)
16
Median week
31.1
Ceiling
5.8
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: steadyTD-reliance: 30%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
32%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 63 chances
+5.1%
Team pass rate (PROE)
pass-leaning play-caller (LA)
17%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (LA)
+0.57
Rush yds over exp / att
efficiency vs his blocking
22%
Stacked boxes
carries vs 8+ defenders

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Across all 17 games, Kyren Williams averaged 15.5 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 182
5937% bust34% @1.5x299

Expect about 182 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 59 and 299, with a 37% chance of finishing below replacement (148).

Game log

17 games · 15.5 PPG avg
WkOppRush ydTDRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1HOUW66113082%Staffordtough13.9
2@TENW660214070%Staffordmid10.0
3@PHIL940218176%Staffordmid19.2
4INDW770317068%Staffordtough10.4
5SFL650866291%Staffordsoft31.1
6@BALW501237075%Staffordsoft16.7
7@JAXW540211060%Staffordtough8.5
9NOW114100069%Staffordmid17.4
10@SFW732211058%Staffordsoft22.4
11SEAW91115069%Staffordtough16.6
12TBW46012066%Staffordmid5.8
13@CARL72100067%Staffordsoft13.2
14@ARIW841213051%Staffordsoft17.7
15DETW782110054%Staffordtough21.8
16@SEAL700315071%Staffordtough11.5
17@ATLL920338071%Staffordmid16.0
18ARIW600321063%Staffordsoft11.1

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Rush yards over expected / att — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 1Wk 21

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -0.5 (0.60.1). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — LAvs RB · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 1 soft, 1 tough
Wk 15
DAL
Wk 16
@SEA
Wk 17
@TB
Full season
Wk 1
SF
Wk 2
NYG
Wk 3
@DEN
Wk 4
@PHI
Wk 5
BUF
Wk 6
ARI
Wk 7
@LV
Wk 8
LAC
Wk 9
@WAS
Wk 10
@ARI
Wk 12
GB
Wk 13
KC
Wk 14
@SF
Wk 15
DAL
Wk 16
@SEA
Wk 17
@TB
Wk 18
SEA

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to RBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.