TrueSplits

Parker Washington

WR · JAX · on the draft board

market valueWR30· 1,920 value· tier 30· ▲ up 873 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
11.5PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (11.5) · 16 games
⚡ What changed
Since he stepped into a lead role (Wk 7):14.4 PPGup from 6.7
SeasonLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

11.5
Avg PPG (split)
9.9
Median week
26.5
Ceiling
0
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: streakyTD-reliance: 16%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
8%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 17 chances
+1.9%
Team pass rate (PROE)
balanced play-caller (JAX)
10%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (JAX)
12.6
Target depth (aDOT)
avg air yards per target
2.4 yd
Separation
avg at the catch point
25%
Air-yards share
of the team's intended air yards
+1.7
YAC vs expected
yards after catch over expectation

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Across all 16 games, Parker Washington averaged 11.5 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 167
7560% bust6% @1.5x251

Expect about 167 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 75 and 251, with a 60% chance of finishing below replacement (183).

Game log

16 games · 11.5 PPG avg
WkOppRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1CARW00026%!Lawrencetough0.0
2@CINL576024%!Lawrencetough12.6
3HOUW434071%Lawrencetough7.4
4@SFW00085%Lawrencesoft5.9
5KCW216126%!Lawrencetough9.6
6SEAL229033%!Lawrencetough4.9
7LAL452088%Lawrencesoft10.2
9@LVW890088%Lawrencemid17.0
10@HOUL333187%Lawrencetough17.9
11LACW220076%Lawrencetough4.0
12@ARIW571184%Lawrencemid18.1
13@TENW126038%!Lawrencesoft3.6
15NYJW353045%Lawrencemid8.3
16@DENW6145156%Lawrencetough26.5
17@INDW8115081%Lawrencesoft19.0
18TENW587174%Lawrencesoft19.7

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Separation — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 2Wk 19

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: +0.2yd (2.42.7yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — JAXvs WR · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 2 soft, 1 tough
Wk 15
@HOU
Wk 16
@DAL
Wk 17
WAS
Full season
Wk 1
CLE
Wk 2
@DEN
Wk 3
NE
Wk 4
@CIN
Wk 5
PHI
Wk 6
HOU
Wk 8
IND
Wk 9
@BAL
Wk 10
@TEN
Wk 11
@NYG
Wk 12
TEN
Wk 13
@CHI
Wk 14
PIT
Wk 15
@HOU
Wk 16
@DAL
Wk 17
WAS
Wk 18
@IND

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.