TrueSplits

David Montgomery

RB · HOU · on the draft board

market valueRB22· 3,232 value· tier 23· ▲ up 143 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
9.8PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (9.8) · 17 games
SeasonLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

9.8
Avg PPG (split)
8.3
Median week
29.4
Ceiling
1.2
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: streakyTD-reliance: 32%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
20%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 37 chances
-6.2%
Team pass rate (PROE)
run-leaning play-caller (DET)
12%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (DET)
+0.80
Rush yds over exp / att
efficiency vs his blocking
34%
Stacked boxes
carries vs 8+ defenders

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Across all 17 games, David Montgomery averaged 9.8 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 153
5048% bust19% @1.5x250

Expect about 153 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 50 and 250, with a 48% chance of finishing below replacement (148).

Game log

17 games · 9.8 PPG avg
WkOppRush ydTDRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1@GBL250418037%!Goffmid8.3
2CHIW57114039%!Goffsoft13.1
3@BALW1512113037%!Goffsoft29.4
4CLEW12000033%!Goffmid1.2
5@CINW65116053%Goffsoft18.2
6@KCL240237031%!Gofftough8.1
7TBW210218044%Goffmid5.9
9MINL401210038%!Gofftough11.0
10@WASW71010054%Goffsoft10.1
11@PHIL270110039%!Goffmid4.7
12NYGW180319034%!Goffsoft6.7
13GBL321216038%!Goffmid12.8
14DALW601113031%!Goffsoft14.3
15@LAL32100028%!Goffmid9.2
16PITL14000018%!Gofftough1.4
17@MINL250215034%!Gofftough6.0
18@CHIW420113042%Goffsoft6.5

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Rush yards over expected / att — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 1Wk 17

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -3.5 (2.6-0.9). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — HOUvs RB · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 0 soft, 1 tough
Wk 15
JAX
Wk 16
@PHI
Wk 17
@GB
Full season
Wk 1
BUF
Wk 2
CIN
Wk 3
@IND
Wk 4
DAL
Wk 5
@TEN
Wk 6
@JAX
Wk 7
NYG
Wk 9
@LAC
Wk 10
@CLE
Wk 11
IND
Wk 12
BAL
Wk 13
@PIT
Wk 14
@WAS
Wk 15
JAX
Wk 16
@PHI
Wk 17
@GB
Wk 18
TEN

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to RBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.