TrueSplits

Saquon Barkley

RB · PHI · on the draft board

market valueRB7· 6,913 value· tier 8· ▼ down 59 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
14.5PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (14.5) · 16 games
SeasonLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

14.5
Avg PPG (split)
15.2
Median week
33.4
Ceiling
5.2
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: steadyTD-reliance: 23%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
34%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 52 chances
-1.5%
Team pass rate (PROE)
balanced play-caller (PHI)
10%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (PHI)
+0.28
Rush yds over exp / att
efficiency vs his blocking
31%
Stacked boxes
carries vs 8+ defenders

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Across all 16 games, Saquon Barkley averaged 14.5 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 189
6135% bust37% @1.5x309

Expect about 189 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 61 and 309, with a 35% chance of finishing below replacement (148).

Game log

16 games · 14.5 PPG avg
WkOppRush ydTDRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1DALW601424079%Hurtssoft18.4
2@KCW88126083%Hurtstough17.4
3LAW46049094%Hurtsmid9.5
4@TBW431431084%Hurtsmid17.4
5DENL300358172%Hurtstough17.8
6@NYGL58029081%Hurtssoft8.7
7@MINW4401-2078%Hurtstough5.2
8NYGW1501424159%Hurtssoft33.4
10@GBW600341070%Hurtsmid13.1
11DETW83017081%Hurtstough10.0
12@DALL220752083%Hurtssoft12.4
13CHIL56000093%Hurtssoft5.6
14@LACL122100082%Hurtstough18.2
15LVW781214057%Hurtsmid17.2
16@WASW132100077%Hurtssoft21.2
17@BUFW68000080%Hurtssoft6.8

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Rush yards over expected / att — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 1Wk 19

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: +0.4 (0.20.6). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — PHIvs RB · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 1 soft, 2 tough
Wk 15
SEA
Wk 16
HOU
Wk 17
@SF
Full season
Wk 1
WAS
Wk 2
@TEN
Wk 3
@CHI
Wk 4
LA
Wk 5
@JAX
Wk 6
CAR
Wk 7
DAL
Wk 8
@WAS
Wk 9
NYG
Wk 11
PIT
Wk 12
@DAL
Wk 13
@ARI
Wk 14
IND
Wk 15
SEA
Wk 16
HOU
Wk 17
@SF
Wk 18
@NYG

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to RBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.