TrueSplits

Christian Kirk

WR · HOU

5.3PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (5.3) · 11 games
SeasonLive · Free
Which QB was under centerLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

5.3
Avg PPG (split)
5
Median week
16.4
Ceiling
0.7
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: volatileTD-reliance: 10%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
5%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 7 chances
-0.5%
Team pass rate (PROE)
balanced play-caller (HOU)
11%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (HOU)
7.2
Target depth (aDOT)
avg air yards per target
2.5 yd
Separation
avg at the catch point
8%
Air-yards share
of the team's intended air yards
-0.2
YAC vs expected
yards after catch over expectation

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Boom/bust watch: 46% of the points in this split came from just 2 games — the median week is lower than the average implies.

Game log

11 games · 5.3 PPG avg
WkOppRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
3@JAXL325067%Stroudmid5.5
4TENW320061%Stroudsoft5.0
5@BALW464049%Stroudsoft10.4
9DENL426056%Millstough6.6
10JAXW13043%Millsmid1.3
11@TENW16051%Millssoft1.6
12BUFW554132%!Millstough16.4
14@KCW16036%!Stroudtough1.6
16LVW337062%Stroudmid6.7
17@LACW21045%Stroudtough2.1
18INDW1-3057%Stroudsoft0.7

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Schedule ahead — HOUvs WR · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 0 soft, 1 tough
Wk 15
JAX
Wk 16
@PHI
Wk 17
@GB
Full season
Wk 1
BUF
Wk 2
CIN
Wk 3
@IND
Wk 4
DAL
Wk 5
@TEN
Wk 6
@JAX
Wk 7
NYG
Wk 9
@LAC
Wk 10
@CLE
Wk 11
IND
Wk 12
BAL
Wk 13
@PIT
Wk 14
@WAS
Wk 15
JAX
Wk 16
@PHI
Wk 17
@GB
Wk 18
TEN

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.