TrueSplits

Jonathan Taylor

RB · IND · on the draft board

market valueRB4· 8,409 value· tier 5· ▲ up 272 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
21.3PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (21.3) · 17 games
⚡ What changed
Since Daniel Jones went out (Wk 14):12.9 PPGdown from 24.8
SeasonLive · Free
Which QB was under centerLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

21.3
Avg PPG (split)
16.9
Median week
49.6
Ceiling
5.9
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: streakyTD-reliance: 33%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
41%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 76 chances
-0.1%
Team pass rate (PROE)
balanced play-caller (IND)
14%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (IND)
+0.61
Rush yds over exp / att
efficiency vs his blocking
18%
Stacked boxes
carries vs 8+ defenders

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Across all 17 games, Jonathan Taylor averaged 21.3 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 258
8422% bust60% @1.5x422

Expect about 258 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 84 and 422, with a 22% chance of finishing below replacement (148).

Game log

17 games · 21.3 PPG avg
WkOppRush ydTDRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1MIAW710327071%Jonesmid12.8
2DENW1650250193%Jonestough29.5
3@TENW1023316079%Jonesmid32.8
4@LAL760520087%Jonesmid14.6
5LVW663320074%Jonesmid31.6
6ARIW1231414092%Jonessoft23.7
7@LACW943338087%Jonestough34.2
8TENW1532221175%Jonesmid37.4
9@PITL450212079%Jonestough7.7
10ATLW2443342091%Jonesmid49.6
12@KCL58028090%Jonestough8.6
13HOUL850336098%Jonestough15.1
14@JAXL74100074%Leonardtough11.4
15@SEAL870314085%Riverstough13.1
16SFL461333088%Riverssoft16.9
17JAXL701314089%Riverstough17.4
18@HOUL260213052%Leonardtough5.9

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Rush yards over expected / att — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 1Wk 18

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -2.4 (1.1-1.3). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — INDvs RB · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 1 soft, 0 tough
Wk 15
@TEN
Wk 16
CIN
Wk 17
@CLE
Full season
Wk 1
BAL
Wk 2
@KC
Wk 3
HOU
Wk 4
@WAS
Wk 5
@PIT
Wk 6
TEN
Wk 7
@MIN
Wk 8
@JAX
Wk 9
DAL
Wk 10
MIA
Wk 11
@HOU
Wk 12
NYG
Wk 14
@PHI
Wk 15
@TEN
Wk 16
CIN
Wk 17
@CLE
Wk 18
JAX

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to RBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.