DK Metcalf

WR · PIT · on the draft board

market valueWR35· 1,252 value· tier 34· ▼ down 259 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR

12.5PPG

+0 vs 2025 avg (12.5) · 15 games

SeasonLive · Free

Which QB was under centerLive · Free

Game script & venueLive · Free

Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free

Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)

any snaps

Honest filtersLive · Free

Scoring

Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games

Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

12.5

Avg PPG (split)

12.2

Median week

23.6

Ceiling

2.6

Floor

start/sit readConsistency: steadyTD-reliance: 22%

Usage & role context — 2025Prior season

Red-zone role

share of team RZ opps · 14 chances

-0.2%

Team pass rate (PROE)

balanced play-caller (PIT)

Team play-action

of dropbacks (PIT)

9.8

Target depth (aDOT)

avg air yards per target

2.6 yd

Separation

avg at the catch point

32%

Air-yards share

of the team's intended air yards

+2.8

YAC vs expected

yards after catch over expectation

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Across all 15 games, DK Metcalf averaged 12.5 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 167

7560% bust6% @1.5x252

Expect about 167 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 75 and 252, with a 60% chance of finishing below replacement (183).

Game log

15 games · 12.5 PPG avg

Wk	Opp	Rec	Yds	TD	Snap	QB	Def	Pts
1	@NYJW	4	83	0	95%	Rodgers	mid	12.3
2	SEAL	3	20	1	90%	Rodgers	tough	11.0
3	@NEW	3	32	1	89%	Rodgers	mid	12.2
4	MINW	5	126	1	79%	Rodgers	tough	23.6
6	CLEW	4	95	1	83%	Rodgers	mid	19.5
7	@CINL	3	50	0	98%	Rodgers	tough	8.0
8	GBL	5	55	1	94%	Rodgers	mid	16.5
9	INDW	2	6	0	82%	Rodgers	soft	2.6
10	@LACL	3	35	0	92%	Rodgers	tough	6.5
11	CINW	5	49	0	86%	Rudolph	tough	9.9
12	@CHIL	5	22	0	85%	Rudolph	soft	14.4
13	BUFL	3	32	0	86%	Rodgers	tough	6.2
14	@BALW	7	148	0	83%	Rodgers	soft	21.8
15	MIAW	3	55	1	79%	Rodgers	mid	14.5
16	@DETW	4	42	0	88%	Rodgers	soft	8.2

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Separation — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025

Wk 1Wk 19

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: +0.7yd (2.5 → 3.2yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — PITvs WR · 2025 defenses

Fantasy playoffs (wk 15–17) · 2 soft, 1 tough

Wk 15

BAL

Wk 16

CAR

Wk 17

@TEN

Full season

Wk 1

ATL

Wk 2

@NE

Wk 3

CIN

Wk 4

@CLE

Wk 5

IND

Wk 6

@TB

Wk 7

@NO

Wk 8

CLE

Wk 10

@CIN

Wk 11

@PHI

Wk 12

DEN

Wk 13

HOU

Wk 14

@JAX

Wk 15

BAL

Wk 16

CAR

Wk 17

@TEN

Wk 18

@BAL

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.