TrueSplits

Malik Nabers

WR · NYG · on the draft board

market valueWR11· 4,992 value· tier 15· ▼ down 221 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
14.3PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (14.3) · 4 games
SeasonLive · Free
Which QB was under centerLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

14.3
Avg PPG (split)
8.1
Median week
37.7
Ceiling
3.3
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: volatileTD-reliance: 21%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
2%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 4 chances
-4.7%
Team pass rate (PROE)
run-leaning play-caller (NYG)
11%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (NYG)

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Across all 4 games, Malik Nabers averaged 14.3 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 210
9439% bust21% @1.5x316

Expect about 210 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 94 and 316, with a 39% chance of finishing below replacement (183).

Game log

4 games · 14.3 PPG avg
WkOppRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1@WASL571094%Wilsonsoft12.1
2@DALL9167299%Wilsonsoft37.7
3KCL213092%Wilsontough3.3
4LACW220033%!Darttough4.0

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Schedule ahead — NYGvs WR · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 2 soft, 1 tough
Wk 15
CLE
Wk 16
@DET
Wk 17
@DAL
Full season
Wk 1
DAL
Wk 2
@LA
Wk 3
TEN
Wk 4
ARI
Wk 5
@WAS
Wk 6
NO
Wk 7
@HOU
Wk 9
@PHI
Wk 10
WAS
Wk 11
JAX
Wk 12
@IND
Wk 13
SF
Wk 14
@SEA
Wk 15
CLE
Wk 16
@DET
Wk 17
@DAL
Wk 18
PHI

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.