TrueSplits

Travis Kelce

TE · KC · on the draft board

market valueTE10· 1,244 value· tier 34· ▼ down 151 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
11.4PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (11.4) · 17 games
SeasonLive · Free
Which QB was under centerLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

11.4
Avg PPG (split)
10.1
Median week
24.1
Ceiling
1.6
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: streakyTD-reliance: 16%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
8%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 14 chances
+4.8%
Team pass rate (PROE)
pass-leaning play-caller (KC)
8%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (KC)
6.3
Target depth (aDOT)
avg air yards per target
3.2 yd
Separation
avg at the catch point
17%
Air-yards share
of the team's intended air yards
+0.4
YAC vs expected
yards after catch over expectation

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Across all 17 games, Travis Kelce averaged 11.4 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 132
6834% bust25% @1.5x196

Expect about 132 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 68 and 196, with a 34% chance of finishing below replacement (110).

Game log

17 games · 11.4 PPG avg
WkOppRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1@LACL247184%Mahomestough12.7
2PHIL461077%Mahomestough10.1
3@NYGW426074%Mahomestough6.6
4BALW548066%Mahomestough9.8
5@JAXL761180%Mahomesmid19.1
6DETW678070%Mahomesmid13.8
7LVW354062%Mahomesmid8.4
8WASW699184%Mahomessoft21.9
9@BUFL466092%Mahomestough12.6
11@DENL991179%Mahomesmid24.1
12INDW443088%Mahomessoft8.4
13@DALL545191%Mahomesmid15.5
14HOUL18091%Mahomestough1.8
15LACL770098%Mahomestough14.0
16@TENL16078%Oladokunsoft1.6
17DENL536098%Oladokunmid8.6
18@LVL312080%Oladokunmid4.2

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Separation — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 2Wk 18

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: +0.6yd (2.93.5yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — KCvs TE · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 1 soft, 1 tough
Wk 15
NE
Wk 16
SF
Wk 17
@LAC
Full season
Wk 1
DEN
Wk 2
IND
Wk 3
@MIA
Wk 4
@LV
Wk 6
LAC
Wk 7
@SEA
Wk 8
@DEN
Wk 9
NYJ
Wk 10
@ATL
Wk 11
ARI
Wk 12
@BUF
Wk 13
@LA
Wk 14
@CIN
Wk 15
NE
Wk 16
SF
Wk 17
@LAC
Wk 18
LV

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to TEs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.