TrueSplits

Alec Pierce

WR · IND · on the draft board

community activityADP falling
market valueWR45· 790 value· tier 37· ▼ down 547 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
12.2PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (12.2) · 15 games
SeasonLive · Free
Which QB was under centerLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

12.2
Avg PPG (split)
10.8
Median week
29.2
Ceiling
0
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: streakyTD-reliance: 20%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
5%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 9 chances
-0.1%
Team pass rate (PROE)
balanced play-caller (IND)
14%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (IND)
19.1
Target depth (aDOT)
avg air yards per target
2.1 yd
Separation
avg at the catch point
37%
Air-yards share
of the team's intended air yards
+1.3
YAC vs expected
yards after catch over expectation

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Across all 15 games, Alec Pierce averaged 12.2 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 165
7461% bust5% @1.5x249

Expect about 165 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 74 and 249, with a 61% chance of finishing below replacement (183).

Game log

15 games · 12.2 PPG avg
WkOppRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1MIAW136079%Jonesmid4.6
2DENW468090%Jonestough10.8
3@TENW467054%Jonessoft10.7
6ARIW248081%Jonesmid6.8
7@LACW598087%Jonestough14.8
8TENW269081%Jonessoft8.9
9@PITL6115091%Jonessoft17.5
10ATLW484195%Jonesmid18.4
12@KCL126096%Jonestough3.6
13HOUL478196%Jonestough17.8
14@JAXL580083%Leonardmid13.0
15@SEAL1160100%Riverstough2.6
16SFL486297%Riverssoft24.6
17JAXL00091%Riversmid0.0
18@HOUL4132268%Leonardtough29.2

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Separation — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 2Wk 18

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: +0.7yd (1.9 → 2.5yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — INDvs WR · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 15–17) · 1 soft, 2 tough
Wk 15
@TEN
Wk 16
CIN
Wk 17
@CLE
Full season
Wk 1
BAL
Wk 2
@KC
Wk 3
HOU
Wk 4
@WAS
Wk 5
@PIT
Wk 6
TEN
Wk 7
@MIN
Wk 8
@JAX
Wk 9
DAL
Wk 10
MIA
Wk 11
@HOU
Wk 12
NYG
Wk 14
@PHI
Wk 15
@TEN
Wk 16
CIN
Wk 17
@CLE
Wk 18
JAX

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.