Matthew Stafford
QB · LA · on the draft board
Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.
Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.
Across all 17 games, Matthew Stafford averaged 20.6 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.
Expect about 262 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 129 and 342, with a 48% chance of finishing below replacement (257).
Game log
17 games · 20.6 PPG avg| Wk | Opp | Pass yd | TD | INT | Rush yd | TD | Snap | QB | Def | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HOUW | 245 | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 100% | Stafford | mid | 13.6 |
| 2 | @TENW | 298 | 2 | 1 | -6 | 0 | 100% | Stafford | mid | 17.3 |
| 3 | @PHIL | 196 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | Stafford | mid | 13.8 |
| 4 | INDW | 375 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 100% | Stafford | mid | 27.4 |
| 5 | SFL | 389 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% | Stafford | soft | 25.6 |
| 6 | @BALW | 181 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 100% | Stafford | mid | 9.3 |
| 7 | @JAXW | 182 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 96% | Stafford | tough | 27.4 |
| 9 | NOW | 281 | 4 | 0 | -4 | 0 | 100% | Stafford | mid | 26.8 |
| 10 | @SFW | 280 | 4 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 100% | Stafford | soft | 26.9 |
| 11 | SEAW | 130 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% | Stafford | tough | 13.2 |
| 12 | TBW | 273 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% | Stafford | soft | 22.9 |
| 13 | @CARL | 243 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 100% | Stafford | tough | 11.6 |
| 14 | @ARIW | 281 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 83% | Stafford | mid | 23.2 |
| 15 | DETW | 368 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 100% | Stafford | soft | 20.9 |
| 16 | @SEAL | 457 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 100% | Stafford | tough | 30.9 |
| 17 | @ATLL | 269 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100% | Stafford | mid | 12.8 |
| 18 | ARIW | 259 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 96% | Stafford | mid | 26.7 |
Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.
Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -3.5% (1.8 → -1.7%). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.
Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to QBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.