TrueSplits

Xavier Legette

WR · CAR · on the draft board

6PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (6) · 15 games
SeasonLive · Free
Which QB was under centerLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

6
Avg PPG (split)
3.7
Median week
24.2
Ceiling
0
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: volatileTD-reliance: 20%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
9%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 12 chances
-3.6%
Team pass rate (PROE)
run-leaning play-caller (CAR)
10%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (CAR)
10.8
Target depth (aDOT)
avg air yards per target
2.6 yd
Separation
avg at the catch point
20%
Air-yards share
of the team's intended air yards
-0.6
YAC vs expected
yards after catch over expectation

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Boom/bust watch: 48% of the points in this split came from just 2 games — the median week is lower than the average implies.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 83
3795% bust5% @1.5x125

Expect about 83 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 37 and 125, with a 95% chance of finishing below replacement (183).

Game log

15 games · 6.0 PPG avg
WkOppRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1@JAXL310078%Youngmid4.0
2@ARIL1-2080%Youngmid0.8
5MIAW231179%Youngmid11.1
6DALW211073%Youngsoft3.1
7@NYJW992180%Youngmid24.2
8BUFL217089%Daltontough3.7
9@GBW122055%Youngmid3.2
10NOL00070%Youngtough0.0
11@ATLW483155%Youngmid18.3
12@SFL322067%Youngsoft5.2
13LAW11067%Youngsoft1.1
15@NOL239074%Youngtough5.9
16TBW112065%Youngmid2.2
17SEAL13055%Youngtough1.3
18@TBL322031%!Youngmid5.2

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Schedule ahead — CARvs WR · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 1 soft, 2 tough
Wk 15
CIN
Wk 16
@PIT
Wk 17
SEA
Full season
Wk 1
CHI
Wk 2
@ATL
Wk 3
@CLE
Wk 4
DET
Wk 6
@PHI
Wk 7
TB
Wk 8
@GB
Wk 9
DEN
Wk 10
@NO
Wk 11
BAL
Wk 12
@TB
Wk 13
@MIN
Wk 14
NO
Wk 15
CIN
Wk 16
@PIT
Wk 17
SEA
Wk 18
ATL

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.