TrueSplits

Breece Hall

RB · NYJ · on the draft board

market valueRB17· 4,282 value· tier 19· ▼ down 108 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
13PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (13) · 16 games
SeasonLive · Free
Which QB was under centerLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

13
Avg PPG (split)
11.6
Median week
32.9
Ceiling
4.3
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: streakyTD-reliance: 17%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
27%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 33 chances
-11.3%
Team pass rate (PROE)
run-leaning play-caller (NYJ)
9%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (NYJ)
+0.59
Rush yds over exp / att
efficiency vs his blocking
27%
Stacked boxes
carries vs 8+ defenders

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Across all 16 games, Breece Hall averaged 13 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 182
5937% bust34% @1.5x299

Expect about 182 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 59 and 299, with a 37% chance of finishing below replacement (148).

Game log

16 games · 13.0 PPG avg
WkOppRush ydTDRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1PITL1070238058%Fieldstough16.5
2BUFL29029064%Fieldssoft5.8
3@TBL210431055%Taylormid9.2
4@MIAL810530063%Fieldsmid16.1
5DALL1130442062%Fieldssoft17.5
6DENL59000074%Fieldstough5.9
7CARL380214054%Taylorsoft7.2
8@CINW1332214056%Fieldssoft32.9
10CLEW830142171%Fieldsmid19.5
11@NEL58026072%Fieldstough8.4
12@BALL440475071%Taylorsoft13.9
13ATLW68128088%Taylormid15.6
14MIAL43000076%Cookmid4.3
15@JAXL230214054%Cooktough5.7
16@NOL54029064%Cookmid8.3
17NEL1111218048%Cooktough20.9

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Rush yards over expected / att — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 1Wk 17

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -0.1 (0.60.4). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — NYJvs RB · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 1 soft, 2 tough
Wk 15
@ARI
Wk 16
NE
Wk 17
MIN
Full season
Wk 1
@TEN
Wk 2
GB
Wk 3
@DET
Wk 4
@CHI
Wk 5
CLE
Wk 6
@NE
Wk 7
MIA
Wk 8
LV
Wk 9
@KC
Wk 10
BUF
Wk 11
@LAC
Wk 12
@MIA
Wk 14
DEN
Wk 15
@ARI
Wk 16
NE
Wk 17
MIN
Wk 18
@BUF

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to RBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.