TrueSplits

Chris Olave

WR · NO · on the draft board

market valueWR12· 4,833 value· tier 16· ▲ up 801 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
16.7PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (16.7) · 16 games
SeasonLive · Free
Which QB was under centerLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

16.7
Avg PPG (split)
15.2
Median week
36.8
Ceiling
6
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: steadyTD-reliance: 20%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
13%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 15 chances
-1.9%
Team pass rate (PROE)
balanced play-caller (NO)
10%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (NO)
11.6
Target depth (aDOT)
avg air yards per target
2.9 yd
Separation
avg at the catch point
39%
Air-yards share
of the team's intended air yards
-0.5
YAC vs expected
yards after catch over expectation

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Across all 16 games, Chris Olave averaged 16.7 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 219
9836% bust25% @1.5x330

Expect about 219 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 98 and 330, with a 36% chance of finishing below replacement (183).

Game log

16 games · 16.7 PPG avg
WkOppRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1ARIL754085%Rattlermid12.4
2SFL6540100%Rattlersoft11.4
3@SEAL1057085%Rattlertough15.7
4@BUFL320185%Rattlertough9.0
5NYGW759073%Rattlersoft12.9
6NEL698088%Rattlermid15.8
7@CHIL598284%Rattlersoft26.8
8TBL863093%Shoughmid14.0
9@LAL357088%Shoughsoft8.7
10@CARW5104154%Shoughtough21.4
12ATLL970080%Shoughmid16.0
13@MIAL447188%Shoughmid14.7
14@TBW330093%Shoughmid6.0
15CARW685184%Shoughtough20.5
16NYJW10148278%Shoughmid36.8
17@TENW8119191%Shoughsoft25.9

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Separation — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 1Wk 17

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: +0.5yd (2.83.3yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — NOvs WR · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 1 soft, 0 tough
Wk 15
@TB
Wk 16
ARI
Wk 17
@ATL
Full season
Wk 1
@DET
Wk 2
@BAL
Wk 3
LV
Wk 4
ATL
Wk 5
MIN
Wk 6
@NYG
Wk 7
PIT
Wk 9
CLE
Wk 10
CAR
Wk 11
@CHI
Wk 12
@CIN
Wk 13
GB
Wk 14
@CAR
Wk 15
@TB
Wk 16
ARI
Wk 17
@ATL
Wk 18
TB

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.