TrueSplits

Chris Rodriguez Jr.

RB · JAX · on the draft board

community activityADP falling
market valueRB46· 272 value· tier 41· ▼ down 96 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
7.7PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (7.7) · 12 games
SeasonLive · Free
Which QB was under centerLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

7.7
Avg PPG (split)
7.4
Median week
15.3
Ceiling
0.2
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: streakyTD-reliance: 39% · regression risk
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
23%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 34 chances
-1.7%
Team pass rate (PROE)
balanced play-caller (WAS)
12%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (WAS)
+0.70
Rush yds over exp / att
efficiency vs his blocking
31%
Stacked boxes
carries vs 8+ defenders

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Across all 12 games, Chris Rodriguez Jr. averaged 7.7 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 92
3088% bust5% @1.5x151

Expect about 92 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 30 and 151, with a 88% chance of finishing below replacement (148).

Game log

12 games · 7.7 PPG avg
WkOppRush ydTDRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
3LVW39000038%!Mariotamid3.9
4@ATLL59000035%!Mariotamid5.9
5@LACW7000025%!Danielstough0.7
7@DALL12100013%!Danielssoft7.2
8@KCL200004%!Mariotatough0.2
9SEAL65100034%!Danielstough12.5
10DETL16100033%!Mariotatough7.6
11@MIAL79016045%Mariotamid9.5
13DENL41100041%Mariotatough10.1
14@MINL52000042%Danielstough5.2
16PHIL63116052%Mariotamid13.9
18@PHIW651118042%Johnsonmid15.3

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Rush yards over expected / att — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 3Wk 18

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -0.6 (0.80.3). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — JAXvs RB · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 2 soft, 1 tough
Wk 15
@HOU
Wk 16
@DAL
Wk 17
WAS
Full season
Wk 1
CLE
Wk 2
@DEN
Wk 3
NE
Wk 4
@CIN
Wk 5
PHI
Wk 6
HOU
Wk 8
IND
Wk 9
@BAL
Wk 10
@TEN
Wk 11
@NYG
Wk 12
TEN
Wk 13
@CHI
Wk 14
PIT
Wk 15
@HOU
Wk 16
@DAL
Wk 17
WAS
Wk 18
@IND

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to RBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.